Fremantle Dockers at Sydney Swans: Fremantle Dockers Spread 8.5
Probability
70.5%
Edge
17.6%
Best Odds
-112
Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers : Fremantle Dockers 8.5 (-112)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
The bet on Fremantle Dockers +8.5 is supported by their recent performances. Despite playing away, the Dockers have shown a stronger scoring ability than the Swans, averaging 83.6 points in their last 5 games compared to the Swans' 71.6. The Dockers' defensive record is also better, conceding an average of 60 points compared to the Swans' 88.4. With the Dockers averaging 23.6 in margins over their last 5 games, they have the potential to keep this game close. Additionally, the Dockers have been more efficient in their attacking play, hitting the target for goals more frequently. These factors indicate that the Dockers are capable of covering the spread against the Swans.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Disposals
Caleb Serong (Fremantle) Over 24.5 Disposals (-270)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Caleb Serong presents a strong case to surpass 24.5 disposals against the Sydney Swans. His recent away form boasts an impressive average of 28.2 disposals, aligning well with his 5-game average versus this opponent of 28. Furthermore, his consistency is highlighted by a 3-game hit streak for away matches. With a model predicting him to reach 30 disposals, a deviation of 5, and a significant edge of 13.4%, Serong's form, especially in contested possessions and kicks, supports this bet. Expect his ability to find the ball efficiently, maintain a high disposal rate, and capitalize on his recent form to drive him past the 24.5 mark.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Goals
Shai Bolton (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-294)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Shai Bolton presents a solid bet to score anytime against the Sydney Swans. His recent form, averaging 2 goals in his last 5 away games, showcases his scoring prowess. With an average of 4.2 shots at goal per game and a goal accuracy of 42.0%, Bolton is a consistent threat in front of the sticks. Additionally, his involvement in creating scores, averaging 7.4 score involvements, indicates an active offensive presence. Facing an opponent where he has historically averaged 1 goal in their away encounters, Bolton's performance metrics align favorably with the model's prediction, suggesting a high likelihood of him snagging a goal in this matchup.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Goals
Jye Amiss (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-213)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jye Amiss presents a strong case to snag a goal in the 'Anytime Goalscorer' market against the Sydney Swans. With a model prediction of 1.2 goals, indicating a 12.5% edge, and a solid L5 performance averaging 1.6 goals per away game, Amiss is in a prime position to continue his scoring streak. His high goal accuracy of 62.0% and active involvement in the forward line, averaging 2.6 shots at goal and 4.4 score involvements per game, further support this bet. Facing an opponent where he averages 2.5 goals in the last 5 away matchups, Amiss is poised to capitalize on scoring opportunities at the SCG.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Goals
Michael Frederick (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-208)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Michael Frederick is poised to snag a goal based on his recent form. With an average of 0.8 goals per game in his last five away matches and a strong goal accuracy of 20%, Frederick is showing consistency. Additionally, facing the Sydney Swans, where he has an average of 1.5 goals in their last five encounters, boosts his scoring potential. His involvement in scoring, evident from his 5 score involvements per game, coupled with an average of 2.6 shots at goal, indicates he is actively seeking scoring opportunities. The model's prediction of 1.1 goals, with a 9.9% edge, aligns with Frederick's recent performance, making him a solid choice to score anytime in this game.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Goals
Murphy Reid (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-196)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Murphy Reid is a solid pick to snag a goal in the Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers matchup. Despite his lower recent average of 0.6 goals in away games, his consistent involvement near the big sticks with 1.8 shots at goal and 0.8 marks inside 50 suggests he's a threat. With an overall goal accuracy of 52.7%, Reid's ability to convert his opportunities is noteworthy. His recent form, averaging 4.4 score involvements and 2.2 shots at goal overall, indicates he's actively contributing to the Swans' attacking plays. The model's prediction of 1 goal, coupled with a significant edge of 8.9%, makes Reid a favorable choice to hit the scoreboard in this game.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Total Points
Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers : Over 157.5 Total Points (-112)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
The bet on Over 157.5 total points in the Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers game is backed by solid statistical reasoning. Both teams have shown recent scoring potential, with the Swans averaging 74.4 points per game and the Dockers averaging 72.2 points in their last five matches. Additionally, Fremantle's offensive prowess is highlighted by their 83.6 points per game over the same period. The Swans' home games have seen an average of 88.2 points against, while the Dockers have been conceding 76.8 points on the road. With the model predicting a total of 165.2 points, the historical scoring trends of both teams indicate a high-scoring game, making the Over 157.5 a favorable bet.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Goals
Braeden Campbell (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-179)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Braeden Campbell's recent form indicates an upward trend in goal-scoring opportunities. With an average of 0.6 goals over his last five games, including 0.4 goals in his recent home games, he has been actively involved in the Swans' attacking plays. His average of 1.8 shots at goal and 2.4 inside 50s per game further support his goal-scoring potential. Facing Fremantle, against whom he has averaged 1 goal in their previous encounters, Campbell is likely to capitalize on his scoring chances. The model's prediction of 0.9 goals, along with a 7.3% edge, aligns with Campbell's recent performance, making him a promising choice to snag a goal in this matchup at the SCG.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Goals
Hayden McLean (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-333)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Hayden McLean is a solid choice to snag a goal in the upcoming Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers game based on his recent performance data. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 home games and a 36.7% goal accuracy, McLean has been consistently involved in scoring opportunities, averaging 4.4 score involvements per game. His 2.8 shots at goal and 2.4 marks inside 50 indicate his active presence in the forward line. Additionally, his recent history against Fremantle with an average of 1.5 goals in the last 5 matchups further supports his scoring potential. These stats suggest McLean is well-positioned to surpass the 0.5 goal line in this game.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Goals
Tom Papley (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-370)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Tom Papley is a strong bet to score anytime against Fremantle based on his recent form. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last five home games and an average of 2.6 shots at goal per game, Papley is a consistent threat in front of the big sticks. His 44.7% goal accuracy and 4 score involvements per game further highlight his impact in the attacking zone. Facing Fremantle, against whom he has averaged 2 goals in their last five home encounters, Papley's scoring prowess is well-supported by the data. With the model predicting him to score 1.3 goals, significantly above the line of 0.5, this bet offers solid value given his recent goal-scoring trend and historical performance against the Dockers.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Disposals
James Rowbottom (Sydney Swans) Over 14.5 Disposals (-222)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
James Rowbottom is poised to excel in this matchup based on his recent form and historical performance against Fremantle. With a model predicting him to hit 17.6 disposals, a significant edge of 4.3% is indicated. Rowbottom's home game averages of 18 disposals and his track record of consistently surpassing 14.5 disposals in 15 out of his last 18 home games further support this bet. Additionally, his L5 stats against Fremantle show an average of 23 disposals. Coupled with his solid contested possessions and metres gained averages, the Over on Rowbottom's disposals is a favorable wager for this game at the SCG.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Disposals
Matthew Johnson (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals (-357)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Matthew Johnson is poised to shine against the Sydney Swans based on his stellar L5 performance. With an average of 17.2 disposals in away games, his recent form indicates he'll exceed the 14.5 mark. Johnson's efficiency at 72.2% and ability to gain significant metres bode well for a strong showing. Moreover, his L5 trend of hitting 19 disposals consistently and a current hit streak of 5 further support this bet. Facing an opponent he averages 21 disposals against, Johnson's overall statistics, including 19 disposals per game, make the Over 14.5 disposals a solid wager with a model-estimated edge of 3.2%.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Goals
Isaac Heeney (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-357)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Isaac Heeney is a strong choice to score anytime based on his recent form. With an average of 2.2 goals in his last five home games and a high goal accuracy of 58.3%, Heeney consistently finds the big sticks. His average of 4 shots at goal and 7.6 score involvements per game show his active presence in the attacking zone. Facing Fremantle, against whom he has scored an average of 1 goal in his last five matchups, Heeney's goal-scoring capabilities are well-supported. With an overall average of 2.4 goals in his last five games, Heeney's scoring streak and proficiency make him a reliable choice to hit the scoreboard once again.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Goals
Will Hayward (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-370)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Will Hayward is a solid bet to snag a goal in the upcoming Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers game based on his recent form. With an impressive average of 1 goal over his last 5 home games and a goal accuracy of 66.7%, Hayward has been consistently finding the big sticks. His involvement in scoring opportunities is evident with an average of 3.4 score involvements per game, showcasing his offensive impact. Additionally, facing Fremantle, against whom he has averaged 1.5 goals in his last 5 games, Hayward is likely to capitalize on his opportunities. With a model predicting him to score 1.2 goals and a 2.5% edge, the statistics support Hayward as a reliable goal-scoring option for this matchup.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Disposals
Luke Jackson (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals (-333)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Luke Jackson's recent performance, averaging 18.2 disposals in his last five away games, along with a strong hit rate of 7/7 overall, makes the Over 14.5 disposals bet appealing. Facing the Sydney Swans, against whom he averages 15 disposals, further supports this pick. With a model predicting him to reach 18.6 disposals and a comfortable model edge of 2.5%, Jackson's consistent contested possessions (10.4) and effective disposals (73.8%) enhance his chances of surpassing the line. His ability to gain meters (204.8) and intercept (3.8) adds to his potential impact, making the Over a favorable choice given his recent form and matchup dynamics.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Head to Head
Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers : Fremantle Dockers Win (+136)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
The bet on Fremantle Dockers as the match winner against the Sydney Swans is supported by their strong recent performance metrics compared to the Swans. Fremantle has shown better form with an average margin of 23.6 in their last five games, while the Swans have struggled with an average margin of -16.8. Additionally, the Dockers have been more efficient in scoring, averaging 83.6 points for compared to the Swans' 71.6. Fremantle's higher averages in contested possessions, inside 50s, and clearances further indicate their ability to control the game. These statistical advantages make Fremantle a favorable pick for the win in this matchup at the SCG.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Disposals
Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) Over 24.5 Disposals (-286)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Andrew Brayshaw is poised to shine against Sydney Swans based on his recent form. With a strong average of 28.4 disposals in his last five away games, he consistently surpasses the line set at 24.5 disposals. His high disposalefficiency of 73.7% and ability to gain significant metres (417.8 avg) demonstrate his impact on the field. Facing an opponent where he averages 27.5 disposals in away games, Brayshaw's trend of hitting his marks is evident with a current hit streak of 3 away and 4 overall. Trust in his consistency and form to secure another performance above 24.5 disposals in this matchup.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Disposals
Heath Chapman (Fremantle) Over 9.5 Disposals (-714)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Heath Chapman's consistency in obtaining disposals, averaging 15 in his last five away games, exceeds the line of 9.5 set for him against the Sydney Swans. With a model predicting him to reach 15.7 disposals, Chapman's recent form is supported by his solid performance metrics, including a high disposalefficiency of 80.0% and an average of 9.6 kicks per game. Facing the Swans, where he has historically achieved an average of 12 disposals, Chapman's ability to gain possessions and contribute to Fremantle's gameplay is evident. Additionally, his current hit streak of 3 successful over bets in away games solidifies his potential to surpass the set line in this matchup.
Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Goals
Chad Warner (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-294)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Chad Warner is a solid bet to score anytime based on his recent performance trends. Despite his L5 average of 0.6 goals in home games, Warner has been productive with 6.4 score involvements and 2.2 shots at goal per game. Facing Fremantle, against whom he averages 0.8 goals L5, Warner's goal accuracy of 23.3% at home may be a concern, but his consistent scoring involvement and shot opportunities make him a favorable pick. With an implied probability of 74.6% and a model predicting at least 1 goal, Warner's recent form and matchup suggest he has a good chance to snag a goal in this game, making the 'Over 0.5 Goals Anytime' bet on him enticing.