Brad Close Over 0.5 Goals (Geelong Cats)
Probability
71.6%
Edge
19.8%
Best Odds
-108
Brad Close (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-108)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Brad Close, with a model-predicted 0.9 goals and recent form averaging 0.8 goals in his last 5 home games, shows a consistent ability to hit the scoreboard. His 28.3% goal accuracy and 3.4 inside 50s per game further support his scoring potential against Brisbane Lions, where he averages 0.4 goals in his last 5 matchups. The Over 0.5 goal line for Close presents a favorable opportunity given his recent goal-scoring form, strong involvement in creating scoring opportunities, and the model's 19.8% edge, making him a solid choice to snag a goal in this AFL clash at the MCG, Victoria.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 23.5 Disposals (-115)
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Max Holmes is poised to shine at the MCG, averaging 28.8 disposals in his last 5 home games, well above the set line of 23.5. His recent form includes an impressive contested possession average of 10.2 and a high disposal efficiency of 67.4%. Facing Brisbane, he has exceeded this line with a 23.8 disposal average in their prior encounters. With a model predicting him at 26.5 disposals and an 18.9% edge, Holmes' consistency and recent performance indicate a strong likelihood of surpassing the set line, making the Over 23.5 disposals bet an enticing choice for this matchup.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Shannon Neale (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-370)
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Shannon Neale from the Geelong Cats is a strong bet to score anytime against the Brisbane Lions. With a model prediction of 2 goals and an impressive average of 1.6 goals in his last 5 home games, Neale's goal scoring consistency is evident. His high goal accuracy of 60.0% at home, coupled with an average of 2.6 shots at goal, showcases his efficiency in front of the big sticks. Additionally, his involvement in the Cats' forward play is highlighted by his average of 4.4 score involvements and 2.2 marks inside 50 in recent home games. Neale's recent form against the Lions with an average of 0.7 goals further supports this bet.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Jack Martin (Geelong Cats) Over 11.5 Disposals (-112)
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Jack Martin is poised to shine in this home game based on his recent performance metrics. With a solid average of 13.8 disposals in his last five home games and a favorable history against Brisbane averaging 16.5 disposals, he's set to surpass the 11.5 line. His steady handball and kick averages of 5.4 and 8.4 respectively, along with a high disposalefficiency of 76.0%, indicate his capacity to control possession effectively. Factor in his 17.9% model edge and recent hit rates of 5/7 at home and 4/5 overall, the data strongly supports a wager on Jack Martin surpassing 11.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Shannon Neale (Geelong Cats) Over 7.5 Disposals (-106)
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Shannon Neale is poised to surpass 7.5 disposals in the upcoming Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions game. With a model prediction of 9.9, indicating a 17.2% edge, and a solid L5 average of 7.6 disposals in home games, Neale's consistent performance is promising. His L5 stats against Brisbane and overall also support his ability to meet this line, with a similar average of 7.5 disposals. Neale's high disposalefficiency at 69.7% further enhances his potential to reach or exceed this mark. Despite a current hit streak of 0, his strong historical hit rates of 14/20 at home and 11/17 overall indicate a high likelihood of success in this matchup.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Shaun Mannagh (Geelong Cats) Over 15.5 Disposals (-118)
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Shaun Mannagh is poised to shine in the disposals department against Brisbane Lions based on his recent form and historical matchup data. With a solid average of 20 disposals in his last 5 home games and an impressive contested possessions average of 6.4, Mannagh is expected to surpass the 15.5 line comfortably. Additionally, his consistent disposal efficiency of 63.0% and knack for gaining meters (436.8 avg) bode well for exceeding expectations. Despite a minor trend interruption, Mannagh's strong home performance, coupled with favorable matchup statistics against Brisbane, make the Over 15.5 disposals bet a compelling choice with a solid model edge of 17.0%.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-263)
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Hugh McCluggage is poised to shine with his exceptional form and matchup history. His away game average of 28.2 disposals, coupled with a high disposalefficiency of 67.2%, indicates he's a consistent performer. Facing Geelong Cats, where he averages 23.8 disposals, and displaying an overall average of 28.8 disposals, McCluggage's recent trends are equally strong with a 2-game hit streak. The model's prediction of 25.7 disposals, significantly above the 19.5 line, presents a 16.9% edge. With his consistent ball-winning ability and recent successes, McCluggage is positioned to surpass the 19.5 disposals mark comfortably in this away fixture.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Spread
Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions : Geelong Cats -12.5 (-110)
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Geelong Cats' dominant home form with an average margin of 45.2 and high-scoring trend of 117.6 points in their last 5 home games suggest they can cover the -12.5 spread against Brisbane Lions. In contrast, Brisbane's away struggles, averaging just 2.6 in margins and conceding 81.6 points per game, indicate vulnerability. Geelong's ability to generate inside 50s (60.4) and shots at goal (34.4) surpasses Brisbane's defensive capabilities. With Brisbane averaging 84.2 points in their last 5 games but facing Geelong's solid defense, the Cats should control this game. Betting on Geelong Cats -12.5 aligns with their recent performance and Brisbane's away challenges, making it a favorable pick for this matchup at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Levi Ashcroft (Brisbane Lions) Over 14.5 Disposals (-118)
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Levi Ashcroft presents a strong case to surpass 14.5 disposals against Geelong Cats based on his recent form. With a model-predicted average of 17.2 disposals and a solid historical hit rate, his L5 stats showcase consistency. Ashcroft's L5 average of 16.6 disposals in away games, coupled with facing an opponent he historically performs well against with a 5-disposal advantage, supports this bet. His efficiency and involvement in both contested and uncontested possessions indicate a well-rounded contribution on the field. Despite his current hit streak being reset, his overall hit rate remains favorable. These factors suggest that Ashcroft is poised to continue his reliable midfield presence, making the Over 14.5 disposals a sensible wager.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) Over 19.5 Disposals (-115)
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Gryan Miers is poised to shine in disposals based on his recent form. With a model prediction of 21.9, significantly exceeding the line of 19.5, there's a 15.1% edge favoring the Over. Miers's solid L5 home stats show an average of 24.8 disposals, outperforming the line comfortably. His high disposalefficiency at 79.3% and strong averages in contestedpossessions, kicks, and metresgained further support this bet. Facing Brisbane, against whom he averages 20.2 disposals at home, Miers is in a prime position to continue his trend of exceeding 19.5 disposals. With a consistent hit rate and a current hit streak, Miers is likely to deliver in this matchup at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Tyson Stengle (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-455)
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Tyson Stengle is a strong pick to score anytime in the Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions game based on his recent performance. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last 5 home games and 41.3% goal accuracy, Stengle has been in excellent form. His average of 3.4 shots at goal and 2.2 inside 50s further indicate his involvement in scoring opportunities. Against Brisbane, Stengle has averaged 0.8 goals in his last 5 home games, showcasing his ability to perform against this opponent. With a solid track record of goal scoring and involvement in creating scoring chances, Stengle is poised to make an impact in this match.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Tom Atkins (Geelong Cats) Over 18.5 Disposals (-119)
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Tom Atkins is poised to shine in disposals against the Brisbane Lions at home. With a model prediction of 21 disposals and a strong recent performance averaging 20.2 disposals in his last five home games, surpassing the line of 18.5 is well within reach. His consistency is evident with a 72.6% disposal efficiency and an average of 11.4 handballs per game. Facing the Lions where he has historically averaged 16.2 disposals, Atkins' recent form, including an impressive 297.6 meters gained per game, suggests he can comfortably exceed this line. With a solid hit rate and streak, backing Atkins to go over 18.5 disposals seems a prudent choice for this matchup.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Shaun Mannagh (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-172)
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Shaun Mannagh is a solid bet to surpass 14.5 disposals against Brisbane Lions at the MCG. With a model-predicted 18.3 disposals and a 14.2% edge, Mannagh's recent form supports this. Averaging 20 disposals in his last five home games, surpassing the line comfortably, Mannagh also boasts a 6-game hit streak with a perfect 6/6 at home. His consistency is key, with an impressive 65.1% disposal efficiency and significant metres gained. Facing an opponent he's averaged 13.3 disposals against, Mannagh's overall stats of 17.4 disposals per game further reinforce his ability to meet or exceed the line, making the Over a strong choice for this matchup.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Bruce Reville (Brisbane Lions) Under 12.5 Disposals (-122)
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Bruce Reville's recent away performance, averaging 10 disposals in the last five games, aligns with the model's prediction of 10.1. With a standard deviation of 5, his consistency and lower-end average suggest a safer bet on the under 12.5 line. Reville's disposals against the Geelong Cats and in away games have been below this line, making the under a favorable choice. His hit rates and streaks also indicate a trend toward meeting or falling short of this mark. Additionally, his turnovers and contested possessions may impact his total disposals. Betting under 12.5 on Reville with sportsbet presents a 13.3% edge, reflecting a higher probability of this outcome.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Jack Henry (Geelong Cats) Over 10.5 Disposals (-112)
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Jack Henry is poised to exceed 10.5 disposals in the upcoming Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions game at the MCG. With a model prediction of 12.5 disposals and a solid 12.8% edge, Henry's recent form supports this bet. In his last 5 home games, he has averaged 9.8 disposals, with a high of 12.4 against Brisbane. His consistency is evident with a 6/8 hit rate in home games. Additionally, his proficiency in contested possessions (3.4 avg) and intercepts (5 avg) against this opponent further solidify his potential to surpass the line. Betting on Jack Henry to achieve over 10.5 disposals presents a favorable opportunity based on his recent performance metrics and historical matchup success.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Darcy Fort (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-120)
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Darcy Fort is poised to shine in the disposals department against Geelong Cats. His recent form shows an average of 10.4 disposals in away games, exceeding the 9.5 line. Notably, his L5 performance against this opponent and overall average of 12.7 and 11.8 disposals, respectively, support his capability to surpass the line. Fort’s positive trend of hitting 4/5 in his last five games emphasizes his consistency. With a model predicting 11.8 disposals and a 12.7% edge, Fort's ability to control the play and find the ball positions him well to deliver a strong performance, making the Over 9.5 disposals bet an attractive option.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Jack Martin (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-250)
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Jack Martin is poised to shine in this matchup against Brisbane Lions based on his recent form. With an average of 13.8 disposals in his last five home games and a strong history of 16.5 disposals per game against Brisbane, Martin's projected 14.2 disposals have an 11.4% edge over the line of 9.5. His consistent performance, coupled with a high disposalefficiency of 76.0% at home, indicates a high likelihood of exceeding the line. Martin's recent hit rates, including a 6/7 success in home games, further support the bet on him to deliver over 9.5 disposals in this AFL clash at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Jack Henry (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-167)
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Jack Henry is poised to surpass 9.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions due to his recent form and historical performance against this opponent. With a model prediction of 12.5 disposals, indicating a 10.2% edge, and a strong average of 9.8 disposals in his last 5 home games, Henry is well-positioned to deliver. His consistent contested possessions (3.4) and high disposalefficiency (88.0%) provide further support for this bet. Additionally, facing the Lions, against whom he averages 12.4 disposals, boosts his chances of meeting the line. Henry’s track record of hitting rates (16/19 at home) and overall reliability (9/11) further strengthen the case for confidently backing him to exceed 9.5 disposals in this upcoming game at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Oliver Dempsey (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-147)
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Oliver Dempsey is poised to shine in disposals against Brisbane. With a model-predicted average of 17.1, a solid 10.2% edge, and recent form averaging 18 disposals in home games, he's likely to surpass the 14.5 line comfortably. His consistency in contested possessions (5.8) and effective disposals (68.6%) also bode well for his performance. Facing Brisbane, where he averages 16.7 disposals in home games against them, further strengthens this bet. Despite a recent hit rate of 3/4 on overall disposals, Dempsey's home game hit rate of 14/20 highlights his reliability in surpassing this line. With the home advantage at the MCG, backing Dempsey to go over 14.5 disposals seems like a smart wager.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 19.5 Disposals (-455)
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Max Holmes is a strong pick to go Over 19.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions at the MCG. With a model predicting him to reach 26.5, indicating a 9.9% edge, and solid recent form, Holmes has been averaging 28.8 disposals in his last five home games. His consistency is evident with an 11-game hitting streak at home, boasting a perfect 11/11 hit rate. Against the Lions, he has historically performed well, averaging 23.8 disposals in their last five matchups. Additionally, Holmes excels in contested possessions and metres gained, key indicators for surpassing the 19.5 line. This bet aligns with his recent strong performances and favorable matchup dynamics.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Bailey Smith (Geelong Cats) Over 24.5 Disposals (-278)
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Bailey Smith's recent form and matchup against the Brisbane Lions support betting on him to go over 24.5 disposals. With an impressive L5 average of 28.4 disposals at home and strong metrics in contested possessions, kicks, and metres gained, Smith is poised for a productive game. His consistency, highlighted by an overall hit rate of 18/20 in disposals, and a favorable history against Brisbane further strengthen this bet. Additionally, Smith's ability to maintain a high disposal efficiency and his current hit streak at home indicate a high likelihood of exceeding 24.5 disposals in this upcoming home game at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Jack Martin (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-161)
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Jack Martin is a strong bet to score anytime in the Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions game due to his recent form. With an average of 1.8 goals in his last 5 home games, a high goal accuracy of 73.3%, and an average of 2.6 shots at goal per game, Martin consistently threatens the opposition. Against the Brisbane Lions, he averages 0.5 goals per game at home, indicating he performs well against this specific opponent. His involvement in scoring plays, averaging 5.2 score involvements, and ability to take marks inside 50, with an average of 2.6, further support his goal-scoring potential. With a model prediction of 0.9 goals and a strong 7.6% edge, backing Jack Martin to score anytime is a statistically sound decision.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Kai Lohmann (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-370)
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Kai Lohmann's recent performance metrics, especially his average of 1.4 goals over the last five away games and 1.7 against the upcoming opponent, indicate a strong scoring trend. With an average of 3 shots at goal and 4.6 score involvements per game in away matches, Lohmann consistently poses a threat in the forward line. His goal accuracy of 55.0% away from home boosts the confidence in his ability to convert opportunities. Considering his recent form and the matchup dynamics, the model's prediction of 1.4 goals, indicating a 7.6% edge, aligns with Lohmann's goal-scoring potential. Betting on Lohmann to snag a goal anytime in the Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions game at the MCG seems a justifiable choice based on his recent performance levels.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Charlie Cameron (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-303)
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Charlie Cameron is a strong bet to snag a goal against Geelong Cats based on his recent performance. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 away games and a solid goal accuracy of 40%, Cameron is a consistent threat in front of the big sticks. His involvement in scoring plays, averaging 4.2 score involvements per game, showcases his impact on the Lions' attacking efforts. Additionally, facing Geelong, where he has scored an average of 1.2 goals in their previous encounters, further strengthens his goal-scoring potential. With an average of 2.4 shots at goal per game, Cameron's attacking intent aligns well with the model's prediction of 1.2 goals, making him a reliable choice to hit the scoreboard.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Zac Bailey (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-357)
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Zac Bailey is a strong bet to score anytime against Geelong Cats due to his recent form. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last 5 away games and a 54.7% goal accuracy, Bailey consistently threatens the opposition. His impressive 5.8 score involvements and 3.2 shots at goal per game indicate his active role in Brisbane's forward line. Facing Geelong, where he averages 0.8 goals in his last 5 matchups, Bailey's ability to capitalize on his 0.6 marks inside 50 boosts his scoring potential. These stats, coupled with the model's prediction of 1.3 goals, suggest Bailey is likely to snag one through the big sticks, making the over 0.5 goal scorer bet enticing.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-435)
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Patrick Dangerfield is a strong bet to score anytime based on his recent performance metrics. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five home games and a solid goal accuracy of 50%, Dangerfield consistently impacts the scoreboard. His average of 2.8 shots at goal and 4.6 inside 50s per game further support his goal-scoring potential. Against the upcoming opponent, Brisbane Lions, he has maintained an average of 0.6 goals in their recent encounters. With a model predicting him to score 1.4 goals, well above the set line of 0.5, and showing a positive edge of 6.3%, the likelihood of Dangerfield snagging a goal is high, making this bet attractive for punters.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Mark Blicavs (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-455)
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Mark Blicavs is a solid choice to surpass 9.5 disposals against Brisbane Lions at the MCG. With a model predicting 15.2 disposals and a 5.4% edge, Blicavs has been consistent, averaging 17.6 disposals in his last five home games. His recent form includes strong contested possessions (9.2 avg) and efficient disposal (75.0% avg). Facing Brisbane, he has maintained a high average of 16 disposals. Blicavs' current hit streak of 12 at home and 2 overall, with a hit rate of 12/13, further support this bet. The data suggests he is likely to continue his reliable performance, making the Over 9.5 disposals a favorable wager.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-714)
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Gryan Miers is a strong pick for the 'Player Disposals Over' bet. His model-predicted 21.9 disposals exceed the line of 14.5, reflecting a 5.4% edge. Miers' recent form at home showcases consistent performance with an average of 24.8 disposals, exceeding the line comfortably. Facing Brisbane, he maintains a solid 20.2 disposal average against them at home. With a remarkable hit streak of 10 at home and 17 overall, Miers' reliability and ability to consistently surpass the line make him a favorable choice for this bet. The data suggests a high probability of him achieving over 14.5 disposals in this upcoming match at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-769)
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Logan Morris is a strong goal scorer, averaging 2.4 goals in his last five away games. With a high goal accuracy of 53.1% and an average of 4 shots at goal, he's a consistent threat. Facing Geelong Cats where he averages 2.7 goals in his last five matchups, Morris has a good track record against them. His involvement in scoring with an average of 5.4 score involvements further supports his goal-scoring potential. Given his recent form and historical performance against Geelong, backing Morris to score anytime in the Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions game seems a solid bet based on his strong goal-scoring statistics.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Cam Rayner (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-435)
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Cam Rayner is a strong bet to score anytime against Geelong Cats due to his recent performance. With an average of 2.4 goals in his last five away games and facing an opponent he typically scores 1.8 goals against, Rayner has a consistent scoring record. His high goal accuracy of 53.3% and frequent shots at goal (4.6 average) indicate his sharpshooting ability. Additionally, his involvement in scoring plays, averaging 5 score involvements per game, showcases his impact on the game. Given his recent form and historical success against Geelong, backing Rayner to snag a goal is a smart pick for this matchup.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Tom Atkins (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)
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Tom Atkins is a solid choice to surpass 14.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions at the MCG. His recent form, averaging 20.2 disposals in his last 5 home games with a 100% hit rate, indicates he consistently meets and exceeds this line. Additionally, facing the Lions, he has averaged 16.2 disposals in their previous encounters. With his strong contested possession and disposal efficiency stats, Atkins is poised to maintain his high disposal rate. The model's prediction of 21 disposals, along with his exceptional recent performance and historical data against Brisbane, make the Over 14.5 disposals a favorable bet for this matchup.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Spread
Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions : Brisbane Lions 12.5 (-112)
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The bet on Brisbane Lions +12.5 is supported by their recent solid performance, averaging a 2.6 point margin in away games and scoring an average of 84.2 points. Geelong Cats, while strong at home with a 45.2 point margin on average, face a Brisbane Lions team that has been competitive on the road. With Brisbane Lions conceding an average of 81.6 points away, the margin of 12.5 points seems achievable given their ability to score. Additionally, Brisbane's average of 51 Inside50s and 24 Shotsatgoal in away games indicates they can create scoring opportunities. This statistical analysis suggests Brisbane Lions have the capability to keep the game close and cover the spread.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Connor O'Sullivan (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-192)
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Connor O'Sullivan has been consistent with an average of 10.2 disposals in his last five home games. Facing Brisbane, he has historically performed even better, averaging 13 disposals in their last five encounters. With a model predicting him at 12 disposals, there is a statistically significant edge to support this bet. O'Sullivan's strong dispossession efficiency of 75.2% at home and a low turnover rate of 1.4 add to his reliability. Considering his recent form, a hit rate of 8/9 in home games, and an overall hit rate of 13/14, O'Sullivan is poised to surpass the 9.5 disposals line comfortably in this upcoming game at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Josh Dunkley (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-500)
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Josh Dunkley is poised to excel against Geelong Cats based on his recent form. With an impressive L5 average of 25.2 disposals, including 28.2 against this opponent, and a high disposalefficiency of 66.4%, Dunkley's consistency is evident. His strong contestedpossessions (9.4) and intercepts (3.2) further support his ability to dominate in crucial situations. Despite a few turnovers (4.4), his meters gained (293) and uncontested possessions (14.2) showcase his impact across the field. With a model prediction of 24.9 disposals, statistically above the line of 19.5, and a favorable edge of 2.7%, Dunkley's reliable performance makes him a solid bet to surpass the set mark in this away game at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Shaun Mannagh (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-333)
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Shaun Mannagh is a strong bet to score anytime against Brisbane Lions based on his recent form. With an impressive average of 1.6 goals in his last 5 home games and an overall goal accuracy of 68.6%, Mannagh consistently finds the big sticks. His average of 3.2 shots at goal per game and 8.6 score involvements further solidify his impact in the forward line. Facing an opponent where he has averaged 0.3 goals in their last encounters, Mannagh's ability to capitalize on his 1.8 average marks inside 50 makes him a reliable goal-scoring threat. With a model predicting him to score 1.1 goals and a 2.6% edge, backing Mannagh to snag a goal is a smart play.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Goals
Callum Ah Chee (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-175)
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Based on Callum Ah Chee's recent away game performance, averaging 0.4 goals in his last five games and facing a team where he averages 1 goal in the same period, the model's prediction of 0.8 goals indicates a favorable edge. His involvement in scoring opportunities, with 4 score involvements on average, and his ability to create shots at goal (1 per game) enhance his goal-scoring potential. Despite a modest goal accuracy of 16.7%, the matchup against Geelong Cats presents a feasible opportunity for Ah Chee to snag a goal, especially with the Over 0.5 line providing a margin for success.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Darcy Wilmot (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-244)
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Darcy Wilmot is poised to exceed 19.5 disposals against the Geelong Cats based on his recent form. With a strong average of 21.8 disposals in his last five away games and an impressive 80.9% disposal efficiency, Wilmot consistently contributes to his team's possession game. Facing Geelong, where he averages 19 disposals, and boasting an overall hit streak of 6 games, Wilmot's reliability shines. His recent performance metrics, including contested possessions and metres gained, align with the model's prediction of 22.5 disposals, indicating a solid 1.9% edge. Expect Wilmot to maintain his consistency and surpass the 19.5 disposal line at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Brandon Starcevich (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-200)
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Brandon Starcevich is a solid bet to surpass 9.5 disposals against Geelong. His model-projected 11.9 disposals, 5 SD above, and recent form with an average of 11.4 disposals in away games support this. With a current hit streak of 5 and 83.6% disposal efficiency, Starcevich's consistency and ability to find the ball uncontested bode well for meeting the line. His previous performances against Geelong and an average of 11.8 disposals in the last five games strengthen the case. Expect him to continue his reliable form and contribute significantly in the upcoming game at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions Disposals
Callum Ah Chee (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-455)
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Callum Ah Chee is set to thrive against Geelong based on his recent form. With an average of 14 disposals in his last five away games and a solid 15.8 overall, he consistently meets and exceeds the 9.5 line. Ah Chee's strong disposals count, paired with a 78.8% disposal efficiency, indicates his ability to impact the game positively. Additionally, his recent hit streak of 3 in away games and 6 overall showcases his current form. Facing Geelong, where his average disposals rise to 11.5 away and 14.4 overall, Ah Chee is poised to surpass the 9.5 line comfortably. Betting on Ah Chee to go over 9.5 disposals presents a favorable opportunity given his recent performance consistency and matchup dynamics.