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Live MLB odds · Model vs implied

Today's MLB Odds, with the value already flagged

Every moneyline, run line, total and team prop in one table — each price shown next to our model probability and the book's implied probability, so the edge is obvious at a glance. Updated live as prices move.

See the verified record → Today's top edges
The odds How to read them Markets FAQ

Today's odds board

Model probability in green = our edge
Live MLB odds · model probability vs implied probability across bookmakers
Game Market Outcome Bookmaker Odds (Dec / US) Model Prob Implied Prob Prediction
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over (0.5) 1.68 / -147 79.2% 59.5% 1.6
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (11.5) 1.83 / -120 72.1% 54.6% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (12.0) 1.95 / -105 68.4% 51.3% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (11.5) 1.80 / -125 72.1% 55.6% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (12.5) 2.08 / +108 64.5% 48.1% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (13.0) 2.27 / +127 60.4% 44.1% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (13.5) 2.50 / +150 56.2% 40.0% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (11.0) 1.65 / -154 75.6% 60.6% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (14.0) 2.71 / +171 51.9% 36.9% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (10.5) 1.56 / -179 78.9% 64.1% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Colorado Rockies 2.14 / +114 61.6% 46.7% 0.6
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (10.0) 1.46 / -217 81.8% 68.5% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (14.5) 2.90 / +190 47.6% 34.5% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (15.0) 3.31 / +231 43.3% 30.2% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Colorado Rockies (0.5) 1.85 / -118 65.9% 54.1% 1.3
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (15.5) 3.60 / +260 39.1% 27.8% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (9.0) 1.30 / -333 87.0% 76.9% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (16.0) 3.99 / +299 35.1% 25.1% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (8.5) 1.26 / -385 89.1% 79.4% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (16.5) 4.30 / +330 31.2% 23.3% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
@
Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over (6.5) 2.08 / +108 54.0% 48.1% 6.9
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
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Nationals @ Rockies
Total Runs Over (17.5) 5.30 / +430 24.0% 18.9% 14.2
Jul 21, 12:40 AM
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Nationals @ Rockies
Spread Washington Nationals (-4.0) 3.88 / +288 27.1% 25.8% -0.9
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
@
Reds @ Mariners
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over (0.5) 2.06 / +106 63.7% 48.5% 1.0
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
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Reds @ Mariners
Spread Seattle Mariners (-3.0) 3.75 / +275 38.4% 26.7% 1.5
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
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Reds @ Mariners
Spread Seattle Mariners (-4.0) 5.13 / +413 31.2% 19.5% 1.5
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
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Reds @ Mariners
Spread Seattle Mariners (-3.5) 4.20 / +320 34.7% 23.8% 1.5
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
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Reds @ Mariners
Spread Seattle Mariners (-5.0) 7.10 / +610 24.6% 14.1% 1.5
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
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Reds @ Mariners
Spread Seattle Mariners (-2.5) 3.10 / +210 42.2% 32.3% 1.5
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
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Reds @ Mariners
Spread Seattle Mariners (-2.0) 2.77 / +177 46.1% 36.1% 1.5
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
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Reds @ Mariners
Spread Seattle Mariners (-4.5) 5.50 / +450 27.8% 18.2% 1.5
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
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Reds @ Mariners
Spread Seattle Mariners (-1.5) 2.40 / +140 50.0% 41.7% 1.5
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
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Reds @ Mariners
Spread Seattle Mariners (-5.5) 7.40 / +640 21.6% 13.5% 1.5
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
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Reds @ Mariners
Spread Seattle Mariners (-1.5) 2.28 / +128 50.0% 43.9% 1.5
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
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Reds @ Mariners
Spread Seattle Mariners (-6.5) 9.70 / +870 16.3% 10.3% 1.5
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
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Reds @ Mariners
Total Runs Under (5.0) 4.21 / +321 29.0% 23.8% 7.6
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
@
Reds @ Mariners
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Seattle Mariners (-0.5) 1.83 / -120 58.9% 54.6% 1.2
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
@
Reds @ Mariners
Total Runs Under (4.5) 4.65 / +365 25.4% 21.5% 7.6
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
@
Reds @ Mariners
Spread Seattle Mariners (-7.5) 12.00 / +1100 11.9% 8.3% 1.5
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
@
Reds @ Mariners
Total Runs Under (6.5) 2.64 / +164 40.9% 37.9% 7.6
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
@
Reds @ Mariners
Total Runs Under (5.5) 3.30 / +230 32.8% 30.3% 7.6
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
@
Reds @ Mariners
Spread Seattle Mariners (-1.0) 1.92 / -109 54.0% 52.1% 1.5
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
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Reds @ Mariners
Spread Seattle Mariners (-8.5) 15.00 / +1400 8.4% 6.7% 1.5
Jul 21, 1:40 AM
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Reds @ Mariners
Total Runs Under (6.0) 2.85 / +185 36.7% 35.1% 7.6
Jul 21, 2:10 AM
@
Cardinals @ Angels
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Los Angeles Angels (-0.5) 2.06 / +106 69.1% 48.5% 2.0
Jul 21, 2:10 AM
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Cardinals @ Angels
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Los Angeles Angels 1.76 / -132 74.7% 56.8% 0.7
Jul 21, 2:10 AM
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Cardinals @ Angels
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over (0.5) 1.93 / -108 66.7% 51.8% 1.1
Jul 21, 2:10 AM
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Cardinals @ Angels
Spread Los Angeles Angels (-3.0) 4.34 / +334 36.3% 23.0% 1.2
Jul 21, 2:10 AM
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Cardinals @ Angels
Spread Los Angeles Angels (-2.0) 3.17 / +217 43.9% 31.5% 1.2
Jul 21, 2:10 AM
@
Cardinals @ Angels
Spread Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) 4.90 / +390 32.6% 20.4% 1.2
Model probability & prediction are Pro-only
Quick answer

What are MLB odds and how do you use them?

MLB odds are the prices sportsbooks offer on baseball markets including moneyline (winner), run line (±1.5 run spread), totals (over/under combined score), and team props. To spot value, convert the odds to implied probability (1 ÷ decimal odds) and compare to your own or a model's estimate. When the model probability is meaningfully higher than the implied probability, the price may offer positive expected value.

Quick formula: implied % = 1 ÷ decimal odds. Example: 2.20 = 45.5% implied.
What you can do in 30 seconds
  1. Scan the table for your market — moneyline, run line, totals, or props.
  2. Compare model vs implied probability for a pricing mismatch.
  3. Jump to picks or props using the links below for context and reasoning.
Focus
Odds comparison
Across bookmakers
Edge lens
Model vs implied
Value identification

The method behind the numbers

The board pairs each price with two numbers that matter: model probability (what our model estimates should happen) and implied probability (what the bookmaker's odds suggest). Reading them side by side is how you judge pricing in seconds and isolate genuine value from noise.

Read any price in four steps

  1. Pick a market — Moneyline, Run Line, Totals, or a team prop.
  2. Read the price in decimal and American format.
  3. Compare model vs implied — if model probability is higher, the price may be value.
  4. Use the prediction column — moneyline shows the projected winner, other markets show the predicted number.
Value is not a guarantee — it is a pricing mismatch signal. Manage bankroll and avoid overexposure on any single selection.

MLB betting markets explained

Use this table to match a market type to what it means and what to compare.

Market What it means What to compare
Moneyline Pick the outright winner of the game. Model win probability vs implied probability from the odds.
Run Line Handicap market, commonly -1.5 or +1.5 runs. Model margin prediction and how the handicap changes the true win chance.
Totals Over or under the combined runs line. Model total runs prediction vs the posted line and odds price.
Team Props Team-level markets — alt run lines, team totals, specials. Model output for the specific prop vs the bookmaker's implied probability.

Why model vs implied probability matters

Sportsbooks build margin into every price. Implied probability shows what the market is charging for an outcome. Model probability is an independent estimate. When the gap between them is meaningful, it may indicate positive expected value — but only bet when the margin is large enough to overcome the bookmaker's vig and normal variance.

Keep going

MLB Best Bets
Highest-confidence edges, updated daily.
MLB Picks
Game-by-game picks with the reasoning.
MLB Player Props
Prop markets and value angles.
MLB Parlays
Parlay ideas with the risk laid out.
MLB Betting Hub
Guides, explanations and the latest analysis.
MLB Betting Guide
Beginner to advanced, every market covered.

Official MLB information: MLB.com. Bet responsibly — outcomes are uncertain and this page is for informational purposes only.

MLB Odds FAQ

Quick answers
What are MLB odds?

MLB odds are the prices sportsbooks offer on baseball outcomes including moneyline (outright winner), run line (1.5-run spread), totals (over/under combined score), and team props. Odds reflect the implied probability of each outcome occurring — converting them to a percentage lets you compare against your own or a model's estimate to identify potential value.

How do I convert MLB odds to implied probability?

For decimal odds, implied probability equals 1 ÷ decimal odds. A price of 1.80 implies approximately 55.6%. A price of 2.20 implies approximately 45.5%. For American odds, convert to decimal first: positive odds use (100 ÷ odds) + 1, negative odds use (|odds| + 100) ÷ |odds|, then apply the same formula.

What is the difference between moneyline and run line?

Moneyline is simply which team wins the game outright — no margin required. The run line adds a fixed 1.5-run spread: the favourite at -1.5 must win by 2 or more runs, and the underdog at +1.5 covers by losing by 1 run or winning outright. Because baseball is low-scoring, this 1.5-run margin significantly changes the implied probability and odds compared to the moneyline on the same game.

What are MLB totals in betting?

MLB totals (over/under) are bets on the combined runs scored by both teams. The sportsbook sets a total runs line and you choose whether the final combined score will go over or under that number. Key inputs affecting totals are starting pitcher quality, park factors (altitude, dimensions), wind direction and speed, and lineup run-scoring rates against the opposing pitcher type. All runs including extra innings count unless you are specifically betting a First 5 Innings total.

How does Bet Better find value in MLB odds?

Bet Better runs Monte Carlo simulations and statistical models to estimate true outcome probabilities for each MLB market. These model probabilities are displayed alongside the bookmaker's implied probability so you can see the gap directly. When model probability is meaningfully higher than implied probability after accounting for the bookmaker's margin (vig), the price may offer positive expected value. Small gaps can be noise — a meaningful margin is typically required before acting on any edge.

How often are MLB odds updated on this page?

This page is designed to reflect the latest available odds from bookmakers as they move. Odds change frequently as starting pitchers are confirmed, lineups are announced, injury news breaks, and betting volume shifts the market. Always verify the current price at your sportsbook before placing a bet, as prices displayed here may have moved since the last update.

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