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AFL Betting Protocol v2.0

What is AFL Betting?
Wagering on Australian Rules Football markets including match winners (H2H), handicaps (Line), and performance metrics (Props).
Primary Markets
Head-to-Head: Winner.
Line: Handicap margin.
Totals: Combined score.
Key Strategy
Focus on Line variance in rain (Under) and Player Prop arbitrage for high-disposal midfielders.

Market Mechanics

Australian Rules Football (AFL) is a high-variance sport with unique scoring mechanics (6 points for a Goal, 1 point for a Behind). Successful betting requires understanding how these mechanics influence Line Variance and Total Points markets.

HIGH LIQUIDITY 4 QUARTERS
AFL ground positions diagram showing Forward, Midfield, and Defensive zones for betting analysis

Head-to-Head (Moneyline)

The purest form of market entry. You are simply capitalizing on the win probability of a specific team. Draws are rare (~1%) but possible.

> Collingwood: $1.80 (-125)
> Richmond: $2.10 (+110)
// $100 on Richmond returns $210 Total

Line (Handicap)

The "Great Equalizer." Bookmakers assign a point handicap to level the playing field. This is where sharp bettors find the most edge.

> Geelong Cats: -10.5 ($1.90)
> Sydney Swans: +10.5 ($1.90)
// Sydney wins if they lose by < 11

Total Points (Over/Under)

A derivative of pace, weather, and efficiency. You wager on the combined score.
Key Variable: Weather conditions (Rain drastically reduces totals).

Market Line
165.5
Result: 90-80
170 (OVER WINS)

Player Props (High Alpha)

Wagering on individual performance metrics. This market often has lower limits but higher inefficiency than main lines.

Disposals Total kicks + handballs.
Goal Scorer Anytime, First, or 3+ Goals.
Fantasy Points Aggregated stat performance.
View Live Player Props

System FAQ

What is a "Push" in AFL Head-to-Head?

A push occurs in a draw if the bookmaker does not offer a "Draw" option. Your stake is refunded.

Does weather affect AFL Totals?

Significantly. Rain makes the ball slippery, reducing marking efficiency. This creates a strong correlation with the "Under".