SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +158) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1 @ +121) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +162) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -106) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +158) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1 @ +121) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +162) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -106) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291)
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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan Collins is Yes on To Receive a Red Card.
On the To Receive a Red Card market the model assigns a model win probability of 4%, versus the book's implied 2%, for a model edge of +1.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Jul 11, 10:23AM UTC
Soccer

Nathan Collins

Wolverhampton Wanderers

+1.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
To Receive a Red Card Yes +5000 (51.00)
+1.6% Edge
Brentford @ Wolverhampton Wanderers
Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL only.
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Model Probability
3.5%
Implied Probability
2.0%
Model Edge
+1.6%
Predicted Value
0.0 To Receive a Red Card

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
To Receive a Red Card3.5%2.0%28.45+1.6%

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AI Analysis

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Nathan Collins (Brentford) Yes To Receive Red Card (+5000)

Odds available at betrivers at time of publishing

The bet on Nathan Collins to receive a red card is driven by his recent foul history. In his last five games, Collins has committed an average of 1.2 fouls overall and 1.4 in away games, indicating a slightly higher tendency to commit fouls when playing away. Although his red card average is currently at zero, the fact that he consistently commits fouls suggests there is a potential for a red card, especially in a high-pressure game. The model prediction and implied probability, while low, also indicate that there is a chance of this outcome occurring. Therefore, the bet is based on a calculated risk that Collins' foul behavior could lead to a red card.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Nathan Collins (Wolverhampton Wanderers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan Collins is Yes on To Receive a Red Card. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brentford vs Wolverhampton Wanderers at Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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