Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction & Picks (TJ Rumfield Key Factor): Full MLB Breakdown & Bets

As the Dodgers host the Rockies, all eyes will be on Mickey Moniak, but the under on his total bases might be the smart play here. Moniak’s bat has been quiet against lefties lately, and with the Rockies sending their ace to the mound, it’s a tough spot for him. The Dodgers’ stellar pitching staff has kept opponents in check, with a strong tendency to limit extra-base hits. Combine that with Moniak's current trend of struggling to find gaps, especially in high-pressure situations, and you've got a recipe for frustration at the plate. The model's prediction of just 1.1 total bases aligns with the recent performances of both player and team, suggesting that he could very well fall short of 2.5. With a robust implied probability of over 78%, betting the under on Moniak’s total bases feels like a savvy move in this matchup.

Tommy Edman (STL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-208)

As the Dodgers take the field against the Rockies, all eyes will be on Tommy Edman, but betting on him to go over 1.5 total bases might be a stretch. The Dodgers' pitching staff has been nothing short of dominant lately, boasting a collective ERA well under 3.00. With their ace on the mound, Edman will face a mix of elite fastballs and wicked sliders that have stymied even the hottest hitters. Edman, while capable, has struggled against left-handed pitching this season, and with a lineup heavy on righties, the odds of him finding gaps or getting extra bases diminish significantly. Adding to this, the Dodgers' defense has been airtight, limiting chances for extra-base hits. With the Rockies faltering on the road and Edman’s recent form not quite matching the needed spark, the under on his total bases feels like the prudent play in this matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies : Under 7.5 Total Runs (+215)

As the Dodgers host the Rockies on July 9, 2026, expectations for a high-scoring affair might be dashed by a closer look at recent trends. Los Angeles has been showcasing stellar pitching, with their starters holding an impressive 2.90 ERA over the last month. Meanwhile, Colorado’s offense has struggled, averaging just 3.8 runs per game in their last ten outings. Even when these teams meet, recent matchups have leaned towards the under, especially when the Dodger pitching staff is on point. With the game set at 7.5 runs, it's hard to overlook how the Rockies’ lineup has faltered against top-tier arms. Given the Dodgers' ability to stifle opposing bats and the Rockies’ recent woes, betting the under seems prudent. Expect a tightly contested game where runs could be a rare commodity, making that 7.5 line tantalizingly low.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies : Under 9.5 Total Runs (+100)

As the Dodgers prepare to host the Rockies, the spotlight shines on a matchup that could favor the under in total runs. The Dodgers' pitching staff has been exceptional at home, boasting a solid ERA and limiting opponents to a low batting average. Their ace, whose strikeout rate has surged lately, will likely keep Colorado's hitters off-balance, especially given the Rockies' struggles against left-handed pitching. On the other side, while the Rockies have shown flashes of offensive brilliance, they’ve been inconsistent away from Coors Field. The altitude’s absence can stifle their power numbers, making it tough to see them breaking through against a formidable Dodger lineup. With both teams trending toward lower-scoring affairs recently, the under on 9.5 runs appears to be the prudent play, especially with the models predicting a total closer to 8.41. Don't be surprised if this one stays tight and low-scoring.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies : Under 9.5 Total Runs (+100)

As the Dodgers welcome the Rockies to Chavez Ravine, the stage is set for a clash that screams under. Los Angeles has tightened their grip lately, boasting a formidable pitching staff that’s held opponents to a mere 3.5 runs per game over the past month. Walker Buehler, in particular, has been lights out at home, with an impressive strikeout rate that can stifle the Rockies' offense. On the flip side, Colorado’s struggling lineup has failed to find its rhythm away from Coors Field, averaging just 4 runs per game against lefties, which doesn’t bode well against a Dodgers squad that knows how to handle business at home. With Buehler on the mound and the Rockies’ recent offensive slump, betting on the under seems like a savvy play. It's a matchup where pitching will likely reign supreme, leading us to believe the total runs will fall short of that high 9.5 mark.