Jarren Duran (NA) Under 2.5 Stolen Bases (-3333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels host the Red Sox, all eyes will be on Jarren Duran, particularly in the stolen bases department. While Duran has shown flashes of speed, he’s been held in check lately, with the Angels’ pitching staff adept at controlling the running game. They allow just over one steal per game, making it a tough environment for any would-be base thief. Duran’s recent trends also favor the ‘under’—he’s had limited opportunities to swipe bags, reflecting a more conservative approach from the Sox in recent matchups. With Los Angeles boasting a solid defensive alignment behind the plate and a strong ability to stifle the running game, it’s hard to envision Duran exceeding the 2.5 mark tonight. Given the stakes and the trends, betting the under feels like the right play in this matchup.

Jarren Duran (NA) Under 2.5 Walks (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels prepare to host the Red Sox, all eyes will be on Jarren Duran, whose propensity to draw walks might be tested against a tough Los Angeles pitching staff. While Duran has had his moments at the plate, he’s been held to under 2.5 walks in a majority of recent games, especially against power pitchers. The Angels’ bullpen has also been stellar lately, boasting a strikeout rate that keeps batters guessing and often leads to early swings rather than patient at-bats. Moreover, with the Angels sitting at a solid position in the standings, they’ll likely aim for a quicker pace to keep momentum. Given Duran's recent struggles and the Angels' disciplined pitching, betting on him to stay under that 2.5 walks mark feels right. The combination of these factors sets the stage for a game where Duran might find himself swinging more than waiting.

Sonny Gray (CIN) Under 21.5 Outs Recorded (-244)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels host the Red Sox, all eyes will be on Sonny Gray, a pitcher known for his ability to navigate through tough lineups but facing a formidable Boston offense. Gray's recent outings suggest he might not reach the 21.5 outs mark against a Red Sox lineup that’s been raking, especially against right-handed pitching. Boston has a knack for making pitchers work deep into counts, which could wear him down early. Furthermore, Gray's recent performances indicate a trend where he often exits before the sixth inning, particularly when facing teams with high on-base percentages. With the Angels' bullpen ready to step in and the Red Sox's offensive prowess in full swing, betting on Gray to finish with under 21.5 outs feels like the right play. Expect the Red Sox to put pressure on him and capitalize, making it tough for Gray to stay in the game long enough to hit that number.

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