Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power Prediction & Picks (Connor Macdonald Key Factor): Odds Analysis & Top Props

Josh Battle is poised to excel with his recent form and matchup advantages. Averaging 23.6 disposals in his last five home games, well above the set line of 14.5, Battle's consistent performances make the Over bet appealing. His 79.7% disposal efficiency and 383.2 meters gained further highlight his impact. Facing Port Adelaide, where he averages 13.7 disposals at home and 14.4 overall, Battle is likely to surpass the line given his current hit streak of 4 at home and 7 overall. With a model prediction of 19.5 disposals and a solid 9.8% edge, backing Battle to exceed 14.5 disposals is a statistically supported choice for this AFL matchup.

Jack Lukosius (Port Adelaide) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-222)

Jack Lukosius is a strong bet to score anytime based on his recent form. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five away games, a 61.7% goal accuracy, and 4.6 score involvements per game, he consistently impacts the scoreboard. Facing Hawthorn, where he has averaged 0 goals in his last five games against them while maintaining a solid average of 0.7 goals in his last five matchups overall, Lukosius is poised to break through. The model's prediction of 1.1 goals aligns well with his recent performance, indicating a high probability of him snagging a goal. With an 8.8% edge, the odds are favorable for Lukosius to split the middle and deliver for Port Adelaide.

Karl Amon (Hawthorn) Over 19.5 Disposals (-400)

Karl Amon is poised to shine in disposals against Port Adelaide, surpassing 19.5 with confidence. Amon's recent form, especially at home, showcases his consistency in gathering possessions, averaging 23.6 disposals over the last five home games. His ability to efficiently move the ball, supported by a solid 77.4% disposal efficiency, and his knack for gaining meters make him a reliable choice. With a model predicting him to hit 24.4 disposals and positive trends like a current hit streak of 2 for home games and 3 overall, Amon's performance is expected to be robust. This bet aligns well with his strong statistical indicators and recent form, making it a favorable choice for bettors.

Josh Ward (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Josh Ward is a reliable performer, averaging 20.4 disposals in his last five home games. Facing Port Adelaide, where he averages 17.3 disposals against them, he is expected to maintain his form. His recent disposal efficiency of 74.9% adds to his consistency. With a model predicting him to reach 20.5 disposals and a solid edge of 2.9%, the Over 14.5 disposals bet on Josh Ward seems promising. His current hit rates, especially hitting 15 out of his last 16 overall, demonstrate his ability to consistently surpass this line. In a familiar home environment, Ward is likely to snag a goal and help his team secure the win against Port Adelaide.

Jack Gunston (Hawthorn) Over 9.5 Disposals (-208)

Jack Gunston is poised to surpass 9.5 disposals in the upcoming game against Port Adelaide at UTAS Stadium. With a solid model prediction of 12.2 disposals, Gunston has been consistent lately, averaging 12.8 disposals in his last five home games. His recent form also includes impressive stats like 9.2 kicks per game and 245.2 meters gained on average at home. Moreover, his overall hit rate of 11/13 and current hit streaks indicate a strong likelihood of meeting or exceeding the 9.5 disposals mark. Combined with his reliable performance against this opponent in the last five games, Gunston is set to play a key role for the Hawthorn Hawks, making the Over 9.5 disposals bet a favorable choice.