Unlock potential winning bets for Carlton Blues playing Melbourne Demons. Includes analysis on key players like Jake Melksham. Analysis includes AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons stats and odds.
Jake Melksham (Melbourne) Over 1.5 Goals (-175)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jake Melksham is in fine form, averaging 2.8 goals per game in his last five away matches. With a strong goal accuracy of 61.1% and averaging 4.6 shots at goal per game, he's poised to snag a goal total over 1.5 against Carlton. His recent performance against this opponent shows a goal average of 2, indicating he's comfortable finding the big sticks. Melksham's consistent involvement with 7.6 score involvements and 2.8 marks inside 50 per game further support his ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. His current hit streak of 3, coupled with a 75% hit rate in the last four away games, makes the Over 1.5 goals for Jake Melksham a solid bet.
Jake Lever (Melbourne) Over 9.5 Disposals (-208)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jake Lever is poised to shine against Carlton based on his recent away performance and historical matchups. With a solid L5 average of 11 disposals per away game, Lever has consistently exceeded the 9.5 line. His strong contested possessions (3.2) and intercepts (5) stats further support his ability to surpass this mark. Lever's efficiency (93.2%) and recent form against Carlton (L5 vs opponent: 14.5 disposals) indicate a high likelihood of him hitting the over. Additionally, Lever is on a 3-game hit streak for away games, boosting his confidence and performance. Lever's trend of hitting the over in 15 out of his last 20 games adds weight to this bet, making him a reliable choice for surpassing 9.5 disposals.
Max Gawn (Melbourne) Over 14.5 Disposals (-323)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Max Gawn is poised to surpass 14.5 disposals against Carlton. His recent form, averaging 22 disposals in away games, exceeds this line. With a solid contested possession average of 14.8 and strong intercepts at 3.4, Gawn consistently impacts the game. Facing Carlton, he historically averages 16.2 disposals, indicating a favorable matchup. Gawn's current hit streak of 2 and impressive hit rate of 14/15 further support this bet. Despite the model's slight uncertainty (SD of 5), Gawn's reliable performance and statistical advantage make the Over 14.5 disposals a promising wager for this away game at the MCG.
Marc Pittonet (Carlton) Over 9.5 Disposals (-303)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Marc Pittonet's recent form, especially in home games, showcases his consistency in exceeding 9.5 disposals. With an average of 11.8 disposals in his last five home games and facing Melbourne, against whom he averages 10 disposals, he is likely to surpass the set line. Pittonet's strong contested possessions (7.8) and intercepts (2) contribute to his disposal count. His current three-game hit streak at home and a high disposalefficiency of 68.2% further support this bet. Considering his overall performance averaging 12.2 disposals, Pittonet's form, opponent matchup, and home advantage make him a reliable choice to continue his trend of exceeding 9.5 disposals in this game.
Kade Chandler (Melbourne) Over 9.5 Disposals (-714)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Kade Chandler is a solid bet to surpass 9.5 disposals against Carlton. His recent performance, averaging 16.4 disposals in away games, exceeds the model's prediction of 15.6. Chandler's consistency is evident with an impressive 87.5% hit rate in his last 8 away games and a perfect 11/11 overall hit rate. Facing Carlton, he maintains a strong average of 10.5 disposals against them. With a streak of 11 successful games and a model edge of 1.0%, Chandler's form, reliability, and historical data support the likelihood of him exceeding 9.5 disposals in this matchup.
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