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Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns Prediction & Picks : Stat-Based Insights

Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns Prediction & Picks : Stat-Based Insights

July 20th | 02:20 AM GMT Read time icon4 min read
Predictions

Winning bets for Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Jed Walter. Explore AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns stats and odds.

Jed Walter (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jed Walter is a strong anytime goal scorer bet based on his recent performance. With an average of 0.8 goals in his last five away games and facing an opponent where he averages 3 goals against, the odds favor him snagging a goal. Walter's 56.7% goal accuracy and 2.2 shots on goal per game show he's a consistent threat. Despite averaging 0.6 behinds, his scoring involvement of 2.2 per game indicates he's actively contributing to the scoreboard. With a model predicting him to score 1.2 goals and a solid 9.0% edge, betting on Walter to score anytime against the Gold Coast Suns seems like a statistically sound choice.

Ben King (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 1.5 Goals (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ben King is a standout choice for the Over 1.5 goals bet against Adelaide Crows. With a solid average of 2 goals per game over his last five away matches and maintaining a high goal accuracy of 76.7%, King consistently makes his shots count. His involvement in scoring opportunities is evident with an average of 3.2 score involvements per game. Additionally, he has been on a hot streak, hitting 4 goals in his last 4 games overall. Facing an opponent where he has an average of 2 goals in their recent encounters, King's current form and historical performance make the Over 1.5 goals bet a compelling option.

John Noble (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 19.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

John Noble is poised to shine with a predicted 25.3 disposals, significantly above the set line of 19.5. His recent form, averaging 23 disposals in away games and 24.2 overall, showcases his consistency. With a strong contested possessions average of 5 and a high disposalefficiency of 80.2%, Noble is well-equipped to exceed expectations. Facing an opponent where he has previously averaged 19.8 disposals, he has the opportunity to capitalize on his recent form. Noble's impressive hit rates, with a current streak of 4 successful bets and 7 out of 8 in away games, further support the likelihood of him surpassing the line. Betting on Noble to go Over 19.5 disposals is a statistically-backed choice for this matchup.

Wayne Milera (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Wayne Milera is poised to shine in the upcoming home game against Gold Coast Suns based on his recent form. With a model prediction of 19.3 disposals and a 5 standard deviation, the 2.9% edge indicates a strong likelihood of exceeding the set line of 14.5 disposals. Milera's impressive L5 averages across various key stats, including 20.4 disposals and 13.4 kicks per game in home fixtures, suggest he is consistently involved in Adelaide's midfield play. Additionally, his past performances against Gold Coast Suns, averaging 19 disposals, further support the bet. Milera's solid contested possessions and disposal efficiency make him a reliable pick to surpass the 14.5 disposals threshold, making this bet a compelling choice for this AFL matchup.

Izak Rankine (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Izak Rankine has been a standout performer at home, averaging 21.2 disposals in his last five games, exceeding the line comfortably. Facing Gold Coast, he has maintained a solid average of 17.7 disposals against them. With a model prediction of 19.4 disposals and a 1.4% edge, Rankine's recent form, including high contested possessions (11.8) and kicks (13.6), along with a stellar hit rate (17/17 overall), make him a strong bet to surpass the 14.5 disposals line. His consistency, especially at home with a perfect 12/12 hit rate, indicates a high likelihood of continuing his impressive ball-winning form in this matchup.

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