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Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Value Parlay: MLB Analytics Breakdown

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Value Parlay: MLB Analytics Breakdown

August 16th | 04:31 AM GMT Read time icon3 min read
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Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies : Over 0.5 alternate_team_totals (-5000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Philadelphia Phillies Over 0.5' for the Team Total Runs is statistically supported by the Phillies' recent offensive performance and the Nationals' defensive struggles. The Phillies have been scoring an average of 5.6 runs in their last five games, significantly above the betting line of 0.5 runs. Their batting average of 10.2 hits per game further indicates a strong offensive capability. On the other hand, the Nationals have been allowing an average of 3.7 runs per game in their last five games, suggesting vulnerabilities in their defense. Their recent record at home is also less than stellar, with more losses than wins. This combination of the Phillies' offensive strength and the Nationals' defensive weaknesses makes it statistically likely that the Phillies will score more than 0.5 runs in the upcoming game.

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies : Over 5.5 Total Runs (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The 'Over 5.5' bet for the Total Runs in the Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies game is statistically backed by the teams' recent performance. The Phillies have an impressive Away L5 Overall Runs Scored Average of 5.6, almost hitting the over by themselves. The Nationals, though struggling recently, still have an average of 4 runs scored in their last five home games. Furthermore, both teams have shown defensive weaknesses, with the Nationals and Phillies allowing an average of 3 and 5.8 runs respectively in their last five games. These offensive strengths and defensive weaknesses, combined with a high model prediction of 12.85 runs, suggest there's a strong chance the total runs will exceed 5.5.

Jacob Young (WSN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Jacob Young is a data-driven choice considering his recent performance and statistics. Over the last five games, Young's overall stolen base average is low at 0.2, and specifically at home, it drops to zero. Moreover, he's been caught stealing (Cs) at home an average of 0.2 times, indicating a degree of risk in his attempts. Against the Phillies, his stolen base average is slightly higher at 0.4, but the Phillies have an average of 0.2 caught stealing, suggesting they are effective at preventing stolen bases. Additionally, Young's current hit streak at home is only 1 game, indicating he may not be on base frequently enough to attempt a steal. These statistics collectively point to a lower likelihood of Young achieving a stolen base in this game, making the under 0.5 bet a solid choice.

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