Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians : Over 3.5 Total Runs (-625)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The over 3.5 bet for the Total Runs in the Astros vs. Guardians game is a solid choice based on recent performance data. First, the average runs scored by both teams in their last five games exceed the line of 3.5, with the Astros averaging 3.4 and the Guardians 3.8. This suggests both teams have the offensive capacity to contribute to a high scoring game. Additionally, the Guardians have been allowing an average of 5.2 runs in their last five away games, which further boosts the likelihood of a high total score. Although the Astros have a strong defense, allowing only 1.2 runs on average in their last five home games, the Guardians' higher average batting home runs (0.8) could potentially break through. This combination of strong offensive and weaker defensive stats from the Guardians, coupled with the Astros' consistent scoring, makes the over 3.5 bet a statistically sound choice.
Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians : Over 0.5 alternate_team_totals (-1429)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Cleveland Guardians have been consistently scoring in their recent games, with an average of 3.8 runs in their last 5 overall games and 3 in their last 5 away games. Their batting average of 6.6 further supports their scoring potential. Despite the Houston Astros' strong defensive record, allowing an average of only 1.2 runs in their last 5 games, the Guardians' scoring trend suggests they are likely to score at least once. Furthermore, the Astros' record against the Guardians is weaker (2-3), indicating that the Guardians have been able to overcome the Astros' defense in the past. Therefore, betting on the Guardians to score over 0.5 runs is statistically supported.
Tanner Bibee (CLE) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-769)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Tanner Bibee's recent performance data supports the bet for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market. Over his last five games, Bibee has averaged 2.8 walks overall and 2.6 walks when playing away. This trend is even more pronounced against the Astros, where he's averaged 4 walks. Additionally, Bibee's innings pitched (IP) and outs averages do not show a significant increase when playing away or against the Astros, suggesting his control issues persist irrespective of the location or opponent. His overall and away hit streaks of 7 and 6 games respectively, further indicate that he's been consistently allowing hits, which often correlate with a higher walk rate. Therefore, it's statistically likely that Bibee will allow at least one walk in this game.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
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