Expert analysis and top betting picks for Collingwood Magpies vs Fremantle Dockers. Includes analysis on key players like Shai Bolton. Discover AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Collingwood Magpies vs Fremantle Dockers stats and odds.
Shai Bolton (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-323)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Shai Bolton is a strong candidate to snag a goal in the Collingwood vs. Fremantle matchup based on his recent performance data. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last five away games and facing Collingwood where he averages 0.5 goals, Bolton showcases consistent scoring potential. His 30.0% goal accuracy and 5.4 score involvements per game further support his offensive impact. Given his average of 3.2 shots at goal and 0.6 marks inside 50 per game, Bolton is actively involved in creating scoring opportunities. With a model predicting him to score 1.3 goals and a 7.5% edge, the odds are in his favor to split the middle at the MCG.
Nick Daicos (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-179)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Nick Daicos presents a compelling opportunity to snag a goal in the upcoming Collingwood vs. Fremantle clash at the MCG. With a solid model prediction of 0.9 goals and a 6.1% edge, Daicos has been consistent, averaging 0.8 goals in his last 5 home games. His goal accuracy of 50.7% and frequent inside 50 entries (6 average) suggest he's well-positioned to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Facing Fremantle against whom he averages 0.5 goals, Daicos' recent form and scoring involvement (8 average) make him a strong bet to hit the scoreboard. Considering his track record and the model's confidence, backing Daicos to score anytime seems like a smart choice.
Josh Treacy (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-500)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Josh Treacy is a strong bet to score anytime against Collingwood Magpies. Despite an average of 0.6 goals in his last five away games, he faces an opponent he has historically performed well against, averaging 3 goals in the last five matchups. Treacy's recent form shows promise with 1.8 goals on average in his last five games overall. His ability to hit the scoreboard consistently, coupled with Collingwood's vulnerability to conceding goals, makes him a solid pick. With an implied probability of 83.3% and a model edge of 4.1%, Treacy's scoring potential is well-supported by his recent performances and historical success against this opponent.
Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) Over 19.5 Disposals (-455)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Scott Pendlebury is poised to shine in this matchup against Fremantle at the MCG. With a solid L5 average of 24 disposals and an impressive 77.3% disposal efficiency at home, Pendlebury is a consistent performer. His L5 stats against Fremantle also support this bet, with an average of 19.2 disposals. Given the model's prediction of 24.9 disposals, Pendlebury's recent performances, and his high disposal efficiency, taking the Over 19.5 on his disposals seems like a smart move. Additionally, his steady L5 averages in contested possessions, kicks, and metres gained further enhance his potential to surpass the set line, making this bet a favorable choice for AFL betting enthusiasts.
Daniel McStay (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-435)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Daniel McStay's recent form indicates a high likelihood of him snagging a goal in the upcoming game against Fremantle. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five games and facing an opponent where he averages 2 goals in their recent matchups, McStay's goal-scoring consistency stands out. His 53.3% goal accuracy and an average of 1.4 marks inside 50 further support his scoring potential. Despite a slight dip in goal accuracy in recent home games, his overall performance suggests he's well-positioned to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Considering his strong goal involvement, shots at goal, and historical performance against Fremantle, betting on McStay to score anytime appears to be a solid choice.
Jack Crisp (Collingwood) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jack Crisp is a solid bet to surpass 14.5 disposals against Fremantle at the MCG. His recent form indicates a strong likelihood of exceeding this mark, with a five-game average of 18 disposals per home game and a standout 24.5 disposals per game against Fremantle. Crisp's consistent performance is evident in his exceptional 15-game hit streak at home and an impressive 33-game hit streak overall. With his tendency to rack up kicks (11.6 per game) and uncontested possessions (10.2 per game), combined with his high disposalefficiency (71.3%), Crisp is positioned to secure over 14.5 disposals comfortably. The model's prediction of 20.4 disposals further supports this bet, indicating a 2.7% edge and a high implied probability of 85.5%.
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