Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds. Check out our 5-leg player prop parlay. Discover MLB parlay picks, player prop parlay bets, best MLB parlay today, baseball parlay.
Matt McLain (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-345)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Matt McLain for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice, backed by his recent and overall performance data. McLain's last five games show an average of just 0.2 stolen bases overall and while playing away, demonstrating a low frequency of stealing bases. Furthermore, his stolen base average against the Pirates is zero, indicating he has not successfully stolen a base against this opponent recently. Also, the average opponent caught stealing (Cs) is 0.3, meaning the Pirates are somewhat effective at preventing stolen bases. Finally, McLain's current hit streak, both overall and away, is only at one game. This all suggests a low likelihood of McLain stealing a base in the upcoming game against the Pirates.
Tarik Skubal (DET) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-294)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Tarik Skubal to allow over 0.5 walks is a good choice considering his recent average performance. His last five overall games show an average of one walk allowed per game, which is double the line set for this bet. Although his home game stats are slightly better with an average of 0.4 walks, it still exceeds the 0.5 line. Moreover, his overall innings pitched (IP) average of 5.6 and home IP average of 6.4 indicate that he spends enough time on the mound for a walk to occur. Despite not allowing any walks in his last five games against the Angels, the overall and home averages suggest that this is an anomaly rather than a pattern. The current overall hit streak of 1 also supports the likelihood of Skubal allowing a walk. Therefore, the statistics indicate a strong possibility of this bet being successful.
Bryce Elder (ATL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-417)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Bryce Elder's over 2.5 strikeouts bet is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Elder has averaged 4.6 strikeouts per game overall, 4.6 at home, and 4.8 against the Marlins. These averages are well above the line of 2.5, indicating a consistent ability to exceed this target. Furthermore, Elder has been pitching an average of 4.9 innings per game overall and 5.7 innings against the Marlins, providing ample opportunities for strikeouts. His current hit streaks, both overall (6) and at home (3), also demonstrate a strong recent form. These factors combined suggest a high likelihood of Elder achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game against the Marlins.
Mitch Keller (PIT) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-476)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Mitch Keller's recent performance data indicates a trend of allowing at least one walk per game. His last five games show an average of 2 walks allowed overall, 2.2 at home, and 2.8 against the Cincinnati Reds. These averages are all well above the line of 0.5. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he typically stays in the game long enough to allow a walk. Furthermore, his overall current hit streak of 8 and home hit streak of 2 suggest a consistency in his performance. Therefore, it is statistically likely that Keller will allow over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game against the Reds. This data-driven analysis supports the bet on Mitch Keller for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed (Alternate) market.
Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-476)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Cristopher Sanchez has shown a consistent pattern of allowing walks in his recent games. His last five overall games show an average of 1.6 walks allowed per game, and this increases to an average of 2 walks when looking at his last five away games. Additionally, Sanchez has a current overall hit streak of 9 games, which extends to 3 games when playing away. Given that he averages over 5 innings pitched per game, both overall and away, there is sufficient opportunity for at least one walk to occur. Therefore, betting on Sanchez to allow over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game against the Texas Rangers is a data-driven decision based on his recent performance trends.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
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