Deep dive into Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Dean Kremer (BAL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
This bet on Dean Kremer to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is backed by his consistent performance data. In his last five games, Kremer's overall average strikeouts are 3.4, which is higher than the betting line of 2.5. Furthermore, his performance at home has been even stronger, averaging 4.8 strikeouts, significantly above the line. Additionally, Kremer's innings pitched and outs averages at home are higher than his overall averages, indicating he typically has more opportunities to achieve strikeouts when playing at home. His current home hit streak of 2 also demonstrates his recent success in this area. Although his average strikeouts against the Rockies are slightly lower at 3, this is still higher than the betting line, suggesting he's likely to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts in this game. Thus, the bet seems a good choice based on Kremer's historical performance and current form.
Cedric Mullins (BAL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Cedric Mullins for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is based on Mullins' recent performance data. Over the last five games, Mullins has not stolen any bases, neither at home nor overall. His average stolen bases against the opponent, the Colorado Rockies, is also low at 0.2. Furthermore, he has not been caught stealing in the last five games, indicating a cautious approach to base stealing. Despite his current hitting streak, this does not necessarily translate to stolen bases. Therefore, based on Mullins' recent performance trends and his cautious approach towards stealing bases, the Under 0.5 bet is a statistically sound choice.
Hunter Goodman (COL) Under 1.5 Singles (-323)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Hunter Goodman for Under 1.5 in the Batter Singles market is a calculated choice based on his recent performance data. Goodman's average for the last five games overall and against the opposition is at 1, which is below the line set at 1.5. Furthermore, his performance away from home is even more indicative of the under bet, with an average of just 0.6 singles and 0.8 hits. His current away hit streak of 19, though impressive, does not guarantee more than 1 hit per game. Therefore, despite his overall hit streak, the data suggests that Goodman is less likely to hit more than 1.5 singles in this away game against the Baltimore Orioles. This conclusion is further supported by the model's implied probability of 76.3%.
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