Miami Dolphins vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction & Same Game Parlay Picks: Data-Driven Targets

The statistical data for Tua Tagovailoa does not support the bet of over 24.5 in the 'player_rush_yds_alternate' market for the Miami Dolphins vs Baltimore Ravens game. Tua has consistently underperformed in this particular market, with an overall hit rate of just 1/50. His performance at home is even worse with a hit rate of 0/25. Moreover, Tua's performance against Baltimore has also been disappointing with a hit rate of 0/2. The recent performance trends show that he has not exceeded this mark in his last 20 games overall, last 10 home games, or last 2 games against Baltimore. Despite a model edge of 0.143893208256124, the overwhelming trend of underperformance in this area suggests this bet carries a high risk. Therefore, the data does not favor the over 24.5 bet for Tua Tagovailoa's rushing yards in this game.

Tanner Conner (MIA) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+600)

Based on the available data, betting on Tanner Conner to score a touchdown anytime in the game between the Miami Dolphins and Baltimore Ravens appears to be a risky proposition. Conner's recent performance indicates a lack of scoring, with zero touchdowns in his last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games overall as well as in his home games. The same trend holds true for his overall hit rate, which stands at 0/10 for both overall and home games. Furthermore, he is currently on a zero-touchdown streak. The model edge of 0.122725876919209 indicates a relatively slight advantage predicted by the statistical model, but given Conner's consistent lack of scoring, the risk associated with this bet seems high. It's crucial to consider these factors while making a decision.