Tanner Conner (MIA) Over 0.5 Player receptions alternate (-667)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on Tanner Conner for Over 0.5 in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market presents a solid opportunity, based on his recent performance and hit rates. Conner has been consistent in his overall performance, with a hit rate of 8/10 in the last 10 and 20 games. His current hit streak stands impressively at 8 consecutive games. This suggests a strong likelihood that he will continue this trend and make at least one reception in the upcoming game. Although his home game hit rate is slightly lower at 2/3, it's crucial to note that this is still a statistically strong performance. Importantly, Conner has a perfect 5/5 hit rate in his last 5 games, and 3/3 in his last three, indicating a current upward trend in his performance. Therefore, betting Over 0.5 seems a well-grounded decision, backed by Conner's consistent and impressive statistics.
Tanner Conner (MIA) Over 4.5 Player reception yds alternate (-345)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The betting rationale for Tanner Conner to achieve Over 4.5 in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market in the game between the Miami Dolphins and the Baltimore Ravens does not appear to be statistically favorable based on recent performance metrics. Conner has a poor overall hit rate, striking only 1 out of 10 attempts in the last 10 and 20 games. His hit rate at home games is slightly better at 1 out of 3 but still not promising. Moreover, he is currently on a zero hit streak both overall and at home. This trend suggests that he has been consistently underperforming in recent games. While the model suggests a slight edge (6.84%), given Connor's weak recent performance and hit rate, this bet may be too risky based on the available data. It's advisable to consider these factors before deciding to place this bet.
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) Over 1.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on Tua Tagovailoa to rush for over 1.5 yards in the game between the Miami Dolphins and the Baltimore Ravens is a risk, given his recent performance and hit rates. Tagovailoa has a current hit streak of zero in overall and home games, indicating he hasn't been able to exceed 1.5 rushing yards in recent games. Furthermore, his recent hit rates aren't promising, with an overall hit rate of 0/5 and home hit rate of 1/5 in his last five games. His performance against the Ravens isn't much better, with a 50% hit rate in his last two games against them. The model suggests a slight edge of 18.75%, but considering Tagovailoa's recent performance and hit rates, this bet is risky. The data suggests he's been struggling to get rushing yards, which makes this bet a gamble.
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