Emanuel Wilson (GB) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+160)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The statistics for Emanuel Wilson's recent performance do not strongly support a bet on him scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game between the Green Bay Packers and the Carolina Panthers. Wilson's overall hit rate for the last 3, 5, 10 and 20 games are 0/3, 0/5, 3/10 and 4/20 respectively. This shows a declining trend in his scoring performance, with no touchdowns in the last five games. His home hit rate is slightly better but still not consistent enough to make a strong case for a positive outcome. In his entire career, Wilson has scored a touchdown in only 5 out of 31 games, a hit rate of approximately 16%, with a current hit streak of zero. Therefore, while the model suggests a slight edge, the historical data does not provide enough confidence for a bet on Wilson scoring a touchdown in this game.
Romeo Doubs (GB) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+140)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The betting rationale for Romeo Doubs to score a touchdown at any time during the Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers game is not overly compelling when considering his recent performance and hit rates. Doubs has failed to score in his last five games overall, evidencing a current hit streak of zero. His home hit rate for the last five and ten games is also poor, with only one touchdown scored in the last ten home games. However, Doubs does have a 100% hit rate against the Carolina Panthers, scoring each time he has faced them. This suggests that despite recent poor form, Doubs may be able to exploit specific weaknesses in the Panthers' defense. However, given his overall low scoring rate (12 touchdowns in 53 games), betting on Doubs to score might be a risk. The model edge of 0.086 is also relatively low, indicating a close match-up.
Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers : NA +13.5 Point Spread (-108)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on the Carolina Panthers with a 13.5 point spread is supported by the team’s recent performance data. The Panthers' home advantage stats are particularly compelling: they have a home overall point differential of +4, and this increases to +12.8 in their last five home games. In comparison, their opponents have an overall point differential of -9.4 and -7.4 in their last five away games. This suggests that the Panthers perform substantially better at home, while their opponents struggle when playing away. The Panthers' Expected Points Added (EPA) stats further underline their offensive and defensive strength at home. They have positive EPA differentials both overall and specifically at home, indicating they are efficient in converting their offensive plays into points while preventing their opponents from doing the same. Lastly, the Panthers' home record in their last five games is 4-1, which demonstrates their consistent performance at home. Their opponents' away record, on the other hand, is
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