Tommy Tremble (CAR) Over 19.5 Player reception yds alternate (+128)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The statistical data for Tommy Tremble does not indicate a promising bet for Over 19.5 in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market. Tremble has failed to hit this mark in his recent games, with an overall hit rate of 0/5 in the last 5 games and 0/3 in the last 3 games. This poor performance extends to his home games as well, where he hasn't hit the mark in the last 3 or 5 games. Over a longer stretch of 10 games, Tremble's hit rate is just 2/10 at home and 0/10 overall. The overall hit rate is only 12/52, less than 25%. Additionally, his current hit streak is zero, both overall and at home. Thus, based on Tremble's recent performance and trends, betting on him to go Over 19.5 reception yards does not seem advisable.
Tommy Tremble (CAR) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-213)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Tommy Tremble to have over 1.5 receptions in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market is a rational choice considering his overall performance. Tremble has a hit rate of 50% overall (26/52), which suggests he's equally likely to exceed or fall short of this target. However, his home hit rate is more promising, with a success rate of approximately 52% (14/27). Moreover, over the last 20 games, Tremble has a 50% overall hit rate (10/20) and a stronger home hit rate of 65% (13/20). While his recent form has been less consistent, the larger sample size of his home performance indicates a higher probability for him to make at least 2 receptions in the upcoming game against the Los Angeles Rams. Therefore, the model's edge of 0.197 suggests there is value in placing this bet.
Tommy Tremble (CAR) Over 2.5 Receptions (+138)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Tommy Tremble to have over 2.5 receptions in the Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams game could be a risky move. The statistical trends show that Tremble has a relatively low hit rate for this outcome, with only 12 successes out of 52 overall and 6 out of 27 at home. His recent performance also does not inspire confidence, with just one hit in his last five games overall and none in his last three home games. His overall hit rate is just over 23% and at home it's around 22%. The model edge of 0.186 suggests there is some value in this bet, but it's a relatively small edge and given Tremble's recent performance and historical trends, it's a bet that carries a significant risk.
Tommy Tremble (CAR) Over 2.5 Player receptions alternate (+137)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Tommy Tremble for Over 2.5 in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market appears to be a risky proposition. Tremble's recent performance and trends do not inspire confidence. His overall hit rate over the last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games have been relatively low (1/3, 1/5, 2/10, 6/20 respectively). The home hit rates over the same periods are even poorer, not registering any hits in the last 3 games and only 1 hit in the last 5 games. His overall hit rate from all his games is less than a quarter (12/52), and the home hit rate overall is barely above 20% (6/27). His current hit streak is also not promising, standing at just 1 overall and 0 at home. Considering these statistics, betting on Tremble to exceed 2.5 receptions in this game seems to be against the odds
Tommy Tremble (CAR) Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The betting rationale for Tommy Tremble to achieve over 15.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market in the upcoming game between the Carolina Panthers and the Los Angeles Rams is not strong based on the provided data. Tremble's recent performance shows a low hit rate, with him not achieving this outcome in his last five games, both overall and at home. In fact, his hit rate over the last 10 games is 0/10 overall and only 2/10 at home. Even his overall hit rate stands at a low 15/52, indicating a less than 30% success rate. While the model suggests a slight edge (0.176977450424479), the overwhelming trend observed in his recent and past performance data significantly undermines confidence in this bet. Therefore, based on statistical reasoning, this bet seems risky.
Parker Washington (JAX) Over 2.5 Player receptions alternate (-455)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Parker Washington to record over 2.5 receptions in the upcoming Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills game seems statistically reasonable. Looking at Washington's recent performance, he has a solid overall hit rate, especially in the last 10 games where he achieved over 2.5 receptions 80% of the time (8/10). His hit rate at home is also strong, achieving over 2.5 receptions in 70% of his last 10 home games (7/10). While Washington has not had success against the Bills in the past (0/1), his recent form (4-game hit streak overall and 2-game hit streak at home) indicates a positive trend. Furthermore, the model edge of 0.175982039823049 supports this bet, suggesting that there is value in this wager. Although past performance is not a guaranteed predictor of future results, these statistics provide a compelling argument for expecting Washington to achieve over 2.5 receptions in the upcoming
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