Xavier Legette (CAR) Over 49.5 Player reception yds alternate (+730)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical data for Xavier Legette doesn't strongly support an Over 49.5 bet for 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market in the upcoming game between the Carolina Panthers and the Los Angeles Rams. Legette's recent performance has been underwhelming, with an overall hit rate of 3 out of 30 and a home hit rate of 3 out of 14. His recent trends show a lack of consistency, with no successful bets in the last 3, 5, or even 10 games. At home, he has only exceeded the 49.5-yard mark in 2 of the last 10 games. His current hit streak is also at 0, both overall and at home. The model edge of 0.1855 also doesn't provide a strong level of confidence for the bet. Therefore, based on the available data, betting Over 49.5 on Legette appears to be a high-risk proposition.
Tommy Tremble (CAR) Over 17.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The player prop bet on Tommy Tremble to go over 17.5 reception yards in the Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams game seems like a risky proposition based on his recent performance and trends. Tremble's overall hit rate for the last 3, 5, and 10 games is 0, indicating he hasn't been able to cross the 17.5-yard threshold recently. His overall hit rate overall is 13/52, and at home, it's slightly better at 9/27, but still under 50%. His current hit streak for both overall and at home is 0, suggesting a lack of momentum. The model edge is a mere 0.1797, which means the chance of this bet succeeding is not significantly higher than a coin flip. Therefore, based on these statistics, betting on Tremble to exceed 17.5 reception yards seems challenging. So, caution is advised.
Tommy Tremble (CAR) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-147)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Tommy Tremble to exceed 14.5 receiving yards in the game between the Carolina Panthers and Los Angeles Rams does not look promising based on past performance data. Tremble's hit rate has been poor lately, with no successful bets in the last 5 games overall and at home. His overall hit rate in the last 20 games is just 20% (4/20), and it's slightly better at home with a 40% hit rate (8/20). The model edge (0.164539123790217) is quite low, indicating that the model does not perceive much value in this bet. The zero current hit streak both overall and at home suggests a negative trend. Therefore, based on these statistics, it would not be advisable to bet on Tommy Tremble going over 14.5 receiving yards in this match.
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