Brenton Strange (JAX) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+220)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistics for Brenton Strange do not seem particularly promising for the bet of him scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Buffalo Bills. Strange's overall hit rate, which stands at 3/31, along with his home hit rate of 2/17, suggests that he has a low probability of scoring. His recent performance is also not encouraging, with a hit rate of 0/10 in the last 10 games played both overall and at home. Additionally, he has a current hit streak of zero for both overall and home games. However, his hit rate against the Bills is slightly more promising at 1/2, indicating he has scored in 50% of the games he has played against this team. This, combined with the model edge of 0.174, could suggest a potential opportunity for an upset, but the overall trend does not support a bet on Strange scoring a touchdown.
Brenton Strange (JAX) Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting data for Brenton Strange does not support betting on him to have over 35.5 reception yards in the upcoming game against the Buffalo Bills. His overall hit rate is low, achieving over 35.5 reception yards only 4 times in 31 games. His performance in home games is equally unconvincing, with only 3 successes in 17 games. Furthermore, his performance against the Buffalo Bills also doesn’t inspire confidence, as he hasn’t hit over 35.5 yards in any of the previous 2 encounters. Most notably, he has been on a cold streak recently, failing to achieve over 35.5 yards in his last 5 games overall and his last 3 home games. In summary, the overwhelming majority of the data suggests betting against Strange achieving over 35.5 reception yards in his next game.
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+180)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting data provided suggests a low probability for Trevor Lawrence scoring a touchdown anytime in the upcoming game between Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills. Lawrence's recent performance indicates a zero hit rate in the last 20 overall games, the last 10 home games, and the last 2 games against Buffalo Bills. Furthermore, he has had zero touchdowns in his last 5 overall games, home games, and games against Buffalo, showing a consistent lack of scoring. His current zero hit streak in all categories reaffirms this trend. Although the model gives a slight edge of 0.144983290225027, it does not seem to align with Lawrence's recent and overall performance. Therefore, based purely on statistical reasoning, betting on Trevor Lawrence to score a touchdown anytime in the upcoming game appears to be a high-risk proposition.
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