Andrew Wiggins (Miami Heat) Under 5.5 Assists (-294)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

It's time to take a hard look at Andrew Wiggins in the upcoming Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks game. Wiggins, who's been on the road, hasn't exactly been dishing out dimes like a seasoned point guard. In fact, his assist numbers don't exactly scream 'pass-first' player. Over his last five games, home or away, he's averaged just 2.4 assists. Even when facing the Bucks, his assists only inch up to 2.5. Sure, Wiggins could turn things around, but the odds are heavily stacked against it. His under 5.5 assists prop has been a sure-fire hit for the past 13 games. And if you're looking for a consistent trend, he's hit under 5.5 assists in his last 20 road games. So, while I'd love to see Wiggins become a playmaker overnight, the stats suggest that under 5.5 assists is the safer bet.

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Under 18.5 Points + Assists (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Keep an eye on Grayson Allen as the Phoenix Suns host the Boston Celtics. It's a tempting thought to back Allen to hit over 18.5 points + assists, but the numbers tell a different story. In his last five outings at home, he's only chalking up an average of 10.4 in these categories - a far cry from 18.5. In fact, when squaring off against the Celtics on home turf, Allen's digits dip even lower to around 9. Now, we're not saying Allen can't have a blowout performance, but history is not on his side. The under has cashed in 10 of his last 12 home games - that's an 83% hit rate. So, while the crowd might be cheering for a high-scoring performance, we're banking on Allen to stay under 18.5 points + assists.

Collin Gillespie (Phoenix Suns) Under 1.5 Steals (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Hey there, fellow sports enthusiasts! Let's talk about Collin Gillespie, guard for the Phoenix Suns, playing on home turf against the Boston Celtics. Now, Gillespie's known for his deft maneuvering and quick hands, but the word on the street is he might not be swiping as many steals this time around. You see, the stats are leaning towards the under 1.5 steals for Gillespie in this matchup. In fact, he's been averaging a notch below one steal per game lately, and the trend suggests he might just keep it that way. Especially telling is that in his last 19 games, he stayed under the 1.5 steals mark 16 times. The numbers speak even louder at home, where 9 out of his last 10 games also saw him under that 1.5 steals threshold. So, if you're looking for a smart bet, Gillespie going under 1.5 steals could be your ticket to a winning wager

Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 30.5 Points (-161)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Let's put our magnifying glass on Zion Williamson as the Pelicans host the Warriors. Now, Zion's an undeniable powerhouse, but the numbers suggest he might not soar past that 30.5 points mark. His average over the last five games stands at 24.2 points, dipping to 22 when playing on home turf. The Warriors seem to have his number too, holding him to an average of 21.4 points in their recent match-ups. At home against the Warriors? That average falls to a mere 14.7 points. With his under bet hitting in the last six games—both overall and at home—it paints a clear picture. So, despite Zion's reputation, it's worth considering that he might not light up the scoreboard quite as much as expected in this particular clash. Consider the under 30.5 points for Zion Williamson on Draftkings. The stats speak for themselves in this one.

Royce O'Neale (Phoenix Suns) Under 17.5 Points + Rebounds (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the great Phoenix Suns vs Boston Celtics showdown, it's worth casting our eyes on Royce O'Neale and his points + rebounds market. Now, O'Neale's been a consistent presence on the court, but his numbers haven't exactly been setting the world on fire. On average, his last five games saw him net just six points and bag 4.4 rebounds. Even at home, where he tends to fare slightly better, he's only mustered a combined 7.2 points and 6 rebounds. Against the Celtics, his performance dips even further, with a meagre 4.4 points and 4.6 rebounds recorded in the past. And lest we forget, O'Neale's been hitting the under mark lately, with a solid 14 out of his last 17 home games staying under 17.5. Believe it or not, the stats make a strong case for betting on O'Neale to fall under 17.

Collin Gillespie (Phoenix Suns) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-179)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the bustling world of NBA matchups, one thing remains consistent - Collin Gillespie's rebounding underperformance for Phoenix Suns. It's almost as if Gillespie's vertical leap has been held captive by some invisible force, especially when on home turf. The stats don't lie – he's hit the under on rebounds in 18 out of his last 20 home games. Granted, basketball is a game of unpredictability and unexpected leaps (pun intended), but Gillespie’s average rebounds expected stat value of a mere 2.75 doesn’t inspire much hope. It's like expecting a thunderstorm in a desert. So when Phoenix Suns lock horns with Boston Celtics at home, it'd be a safer bet to expect Gillespie to stay under 4.5 rebounds. In the betting world, backing the trend often pays off and right now, Gillespie’s trend is a rebounding slump. So, let's ride this wave as long as it lasts, folks!

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