Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions : Geelong Cats -12.5 (-110)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Geelong Cats' dominant home form with an average margin of 45.2 and high-scoring trend of 117.6 points in their last 5 home games suggest they can cover the -12.5 spread against Brisbane Lions. In contrast, Brisbane's away struggles, averaging just 2.6 in margins and conceding 81.6 points per game, indicate vulnerability. Geelong's ability to generate inside 50s (60.4) and shots at goal (34.4) surpasses Brisbane's defensive capabilities. With Brisbane averaging 84.2 points in their last 5 games but facing Geelong's solid defense, the Cats should control this game. Betting on Geelong Cats -12.5 aligns with their recent performance and Brisbane's away challenges, making it a favorable pick for this matchup at the MCG.
Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions : Brisbane Lions 12.5 (-112)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
The bet on Brisbane Lions +12.5 is supported by their recent solid performance, averaging a 2.6 point margin in away games and scoring an average of 84.2 points. Geelong Cats, while strong at home with a 45.2 point margin on average, face a Brisbane Lions team that has been competitive on the road. With Brisbane Lions conceding an average of 81.6 points away, the margin of 12.5 points seems achievable given their ability to score. Additionally, Brisbane's average of 51 Inside50s and 24 Shotsatgoal in away games indicates they can create scoring opportunities. This statistical analysis suggests Brisbane Lions have the capability to keep the game close and cover the spread.
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