Dayne Zorko (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-625)
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Dayne Zorko is a solid bet to go over 19.5 disposals against Collingwood at the MCG. With a model prediction of 26.7, Zorko's recent form supports this bet. In his last 5 away games, he has averaged 25.2 disposals, showing a consistent ability to find the ball. His impressive disposal efficiency of 86.9% adds to his reliability. Against Collingwood, he has averaged 21.2 disposals, which further strengthens the case for him surpassing the 19.5 mark. Zorko's overall hit rate of 5/5 in his last 5 games and a 2-game hit streak away make this bet even more appealing. His ability to maintain possession and impact the game makes him a strong candidate to exceed the line.
Darcy Cameron (Collingwood) Over 9.5 Disposals (-769)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Darcy Cameron has been consistently hitting above 9.5 disposals, with an average of 16.8 in his last five home games. Facing the Brisbane Lions, against whom he averages 14 disposals, Cameron's overall season average of 16.2 further supports this bet. His recent form, including a strong contested possessions average of 9.6 at home, a high disposal efficiency of 63.5%, and a current hit streak of 20 games at home, indicates his reliability. With an implied probability of 88.5% and a model prediction of 16.6 disposals, offering a 3.7% edge, this bet on Darcy Cameron to surpass 9.5 disposals seems well-founded for the upcoming Collingwood Magpies home game at the MCG.
Josh Dunkley (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-588)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Josh Dunkley is a solid bet to go over 19.5 disposals against Collingwood. His recent form is impressive, averaging 27 disposals in his last five away games and maintaining a high disposal efficiency of 71.3%. Dunkley's consistency is evident with a current hit streak of 29 away games and a perfect 20/20 hit rate in away games. Facing Collingwood, he has maintained an average of 25.6 disposals in their last five encounters. With his overall average at 27.6 disposals and a streak of 9 consecutive hits, Dunkley is poised to exceed the 19.5 disposals line, making this a favorable bet considering his strong performance trend.
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