Collingwood Magpies vs Brisbane Lions : Brisbane Lions 5.5 (-111)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
The bet on Brisbane Lions +5.5 is supported by their recent performance data. Despite Collingwood's home advantage, Brisbane has been scoring more points on average (85.2 vs. 82.2) and conceding fewer points (71.6 vs. 76.6) overall. In the last five games, Brisbane's away form has been solid, with a higher average margin (17 vs. -12.6) and more shots on goal (29.4 vs. 22) compared to Collingwood's home stats. With Brisbane's strong offensive capabilities and Collingwood's vulnerability in defense, backing the Lions with the points seems like a smart play based on their recent form and scoring potential.
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