Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction & Picks (Mike Evans Impact) : Expert Betting Guide

Looking at Baker Mayfield's recent performance and trends, the statistics suggest a strong bet on the Under 16.5 in the 'player_rush_yds' market. Mayfield's overall hit rate in his last three, five, and ten games is significantly low, with rates of 0/3, 0/5, and 0/10 respectively. This is indicative of his underperformance in rushing yards, further supported by his zero current hit streak both overall and at home. Although Mayfield has a slightly better hit rate against Atlanta (2/3 in the last three games and 2/4 overall), it's important to note that these successes were not consistent and don't outweigh his overall low performance. The model edge at a mere 0.073 also suggests limited potential for an Over outcome. Therefore, the data points towards betting Under 16.5 on Mayfield's rushing yards in the upcoming game against the Falcons.

Rachaad White (TB) Under 16.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

The statistical data clearly favors betting the Under on Rachaad White's rushing yards in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons. White's recent performance indicates a consistent struggle to exceed the 16.5 yard mark. His overall hit rate for the last 20 games is a mere 5%, and he has not exceeded this limit in any of his last 10 games, both overall and at home. Furthermore, even when facing the Atlanta Falcons, White's performance has not improved significantly, with a hit rate of 33% both overall and at home. His current hit streak in all categories is at zero, indicating a current trend of underperformance. The model edge of 7.3% further supports the Under 16.5 bet. This statistical evidence suggests that Rachaad White is unlikely to exceed 16.5 rushing yards in this game, making the Under bet a sound decision.

Rachaad White (TB) Under 16.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Statistical analysis indicates a strong rationale for betting on Rachaad White to rush for under 16.5 yards in the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons. White's recent performance shows a clear underperformance in rushing yards. His overall hit rate is quite low at 7 out of 64 games, with no hit streaks in his recent games. When playing at home, his hit rate is even lower at 2 out of 32. Specifically, against the Atlanta Falcons, he has only hit the mark 2 out of 6 times, and at home against Atlanta, his hit rate is 1 out of 3. This consistent underperformance across all metrics, coupled with a model edge of 0.073, suggests a strong likelihood that White will not exceed 16.5 rushing yards in the upcoming game.

Baker Mayfield (TB) Under 16.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

The betting rationale for Baker Mayfield to record Under 16.5 rushing yards in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons is primarily based on his recent performance trends. Mayfield's overall rushing yards have consistently fallen under this threshold in his recent games, as evidenced by his overall hit rate in the last 3 (0/3), 5 (0/5), and 10 games (0/10). This trend is equally pronounced in his home games, with hit rates of 0/3, 0/5, and 3/10. Although Mayfield has slightly better performance against Atlanta (2/4 hit rate), his current hit streak for both overall and home games is 0. Even when considering his overall hit rate (31/61), the data suggests that there's a higher probability of him not reaching 16.5 rushing yards in this game. This statistical pattern supports the Under 16.5 bet in the 'player_rush_y

Bucky Irving (TB) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+120)

Based on the provided statistics, betting on Bucky Irving for a touchdown in the 'player_anytime_td' market in the upcoming Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons game seems a risky proposition. Irving's recent performance and trends are not promising. His overall hit rate in the last 3, 5, and 10 games is very low, with no touchdowns scored in the most recent 5 games. His performance at home is slightly better, but still not convincing. When it comes to playing against the Atlanta Falcons, his record shows no touchdowns scored either overall or at home. Furthermore, he is currently on a zero-hit streak in all categories. Although the model shows a slight edge of about 4.7%, this seems to be outweighed by Irving's recent performance and overall trends. Therefore, it might be more advisable to consider other betting options.