Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals Prediction & Picks (C.J. Stroud Impact) : Full Breakdown

The statistical data provided does not support a bet for C.J. Stroud to rush for over 14.5 yards in the upcoming game between the Houston Texans and the Arizona Cardinals. Stroud's overall hit rate is low, at 11/46, and his home hit rate is even lower at 5/22. His performance against the Cardinals is also poor, with a hit rate of 0/1 both overall and at home. In more recent games, his performance has not improved - he has a hit rate of 0/5 in the last five games overall, at home, and against the Cardinals. The model edge is also minimal at 0.0400982293933047. Therefore, the data does not suggest a high likelihood of Stroud rushing for over 14.5 yards in the upcoming game.

C.J. Stroud (HOU) Over 9.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

The data suggests that betting on C.J. Stroud to exceed 9.5 rushing yards in the 'player_rush_yds' market for the Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals game may not be a safe bet. Stroud's recent performance data indicates a consistent underperformance against this threshold. His overall hit rate is just around 34.8% (16/46), which decreases to 27.3% (6/22) in home games, suggesting that home-field advantage does not significantly improve his rushing. Against the Cardinals, he has never hit over 9.5 yards in the past. His current hit streak is zero across all the categories, suggesting a lack of upward momentum. Although the model edge is slightly in favor, the underwhelming historical hit rates and recent performance trends suggest a low probability of Stroud exceeding 9.5 rush yards in this match.

C.J. Stroud (HOU) Over 9.5 Player rush yds alternate (-114)

Based on the provided data, betting on C.J. Stroud to rush for over 9.5 yards appears to be a high-risk wager. The statistics show a distinct pattern of underperformance in this area. Stroud has failed to hit the over on this particular prop in his last five games overall and in his last five home games. Furthermore, he has not hit the over in his last three games against the Cardinals, including one at home. His overall hit rate of 16/46 (34.8%) suggests a similar trend. The model gives only a slight edge of 2.4% for this bet, which is not a significant advantage. Considering these factors, it's crucial to approach this bet with caution. This data suggests that Stroud is unlikely to exceed 9.5 rushing yards in the upcoming game against the Cardinals.

C.J. Stroud (HOU) Over 9.5 Rushing Yards (-118)

The statistical data for C.J. Stroud does not favor a successful bet for him to rush Over 9.5 yards in the upcoming game. Stroud's recent performance and trends show that he has consistently failed to reach this mark. His overall hit rate in the last three, five, and ten games has been zero, meaning that he has not exceeded 9.5 rushing yards in any of these games. Even when considering his performance at home, his hit rate is only 1 out of the last ten games. Furthermore, in his only game against the Cardinals, he did not exceed this mark. His overall hit rate is also low at 16 out of 46 games. Therefore, based on the presented data, betting on Stroud to rush over 9.5 yards does not seem statistically promising.

Xavier Hutchinson (HOU) Under 12.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Betting on Xavier Hutchinson to go under 12.5 reception yards is statistically justified given his recent performance and trends. In his last five games overall and at home, Hutchinson has not once exceeded 12.5 receiving yards, as indicated by his 0/5 hit rate. This trend extends to his last three games, both overall and at home, where his hit rate is again 0/3. This lack of success in recent games suggests a pattern of underperformance that is likely to continue. Furthermore, his overall hit rate is less than 50%, at 18/41, signaling he more often than not falls short of 12.5 yards. His current hit streak, both overall and at home, stands at 0, showing he hasn't recently been able to exceed this mark. Therefore, the under 12.5 bet for Hutchinson's reception yards seems a sound choice based on these statistics.