Chase Brown (CIN) Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The reasoning for betting on Chase Brown for Under 21.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market in the Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens game is based on his recent performance and hit rates. Brown has been underperforming, with an overall hit rate of 17/39 and a current hit streak of 0. His home hit rate is also low at 8/19, suggesting he struggles to rack up reception yards at home. Over his last 10 games, he's only hit the mark once, further indicating a downward trend. His performance against the Ravens is slightly better, with a hit rate of 2/3 and an unbeaten streak of 2 when playing at home. However, considering his overall and recent performance, it's statistically more likely for Brown to fall under 21.5 reception yards. This is also supported by the model edge of 0.180744793911306.
Mike Gesicki (CIN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical data presented doesn't favor Mike Gesicki to score an anytime touchdown in the Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens game. His overall hit rate is quite low at 7/57, which means he has only scored a touchdown in about 12% of his games. His hit rate at home, 3/27, is even lower, indicating his performance is not significantly better when playing on home turf. His recent performance is also concerning, with a hit rate of 0/10 over the last 10 games. Even when considering his performance against Baltimore specifically, his hit rate is only 1/3, and he has never scored a touchdown at home against them. Gesicki's current streak also doesn't inspire much confidence, as he has failed to score in his most recent games across all categories. Given these statistics, betting on Gesicki to score an anytime touchdown seems to be a risky proposition.
Joe Burrow (CIN) Over 9.5 Player rush yds alternate (+130)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Joe Burrow to rush for over 9.5 yards in the 'player_rush_yds_alternate' market for the Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens game appears to be a risky proposition based on the provided data. Burrow's overall hit rate, which refers to how often he's achieved more than 9.5 rushing yards, is relatively low at 18/50 (36%). His performance against the Ravens is even worse, with just 1/6 (16.67%) overall and 1/3 (33.33%) when playing at home. His recent performance also doesn't inspire confidence, with a 0/5 hit rate in his last five games overall. While he has a slightly higher hit rate at home (6/10 in his last 10 games and 10/20 in his last 20), the statistical trends suggest that Burrow is more likely to rush for less than 9.5 yards, especially against the Ravens. Therefore
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