Sean Tucker (TB) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+225)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Sean Tucker to score a touchdown anytime in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Arizona Cardinals appears to be a risky proposition. Historically, Tucker's hit rate for scoring a touchdown is low. In the last 20 games, he's only managed to score twice, equating to a 10% hit rate. The picture is even bleaker when specifically looking at home games, with Tucker unable to score in his last 11 appearances. His recent performance doesn't inspire confidence either, with a zero hit rate in his last 10 games overall, as well as his last 5 home games. While the model edge of 0.194649127110218 suggests some statistical advantage, it's important to interpret this in the context of Tucker's consistent inability to score. Therefore, based on Tucker's historical and recent performance, this bet seems to carry a high degree of risk.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals : Under 44.5 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 44.5 bet for the NA vs NA game in the 'totals' market is justified by the recent performance data of both teams. Both teams have shown a trend of scoring less than the line of 44.5 points, with the home team averaging 18.8 points and the away team averaging 23.6 points in their last five games. Additionally, both teams have a negative point differential in their last five games, suggesting defensive struggles. Furthermore, both teams have an overall negative Expected Points Added (EPA) in their last five games, implying that their offensive plays are contributing to a lower score. The home team's EPA is -8.04, while the away team's EPA is -5.35. This suggests that neither team is consistently executing plays that would lead to high scoring games. Finally, both teams have a poor record in their last five games, with both having a 1-4 record. This indicates a struggle to win games, which
Bucky Irving (TB) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+170)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Bucky Irving to score a touchdown anytime in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Arizona Cardinals seems to be a risky proposition based on the given data. His recent performance shows a lack of scoring form, with an overall hit rate of 0/3 in the last three games and 0/5 in the last five. His home performance is also not encouraging, with no touchdowns scored in the last three home games. Even his longer-term hit rates do not inspire much confidence. His overall hit rate for the last 20 games is 8/20, which is a below average record. Similarly, his home hit rate for the last 20 games is 4/12, which is also below average. In addition, his current hit streak is zero, both overall and at home. Thus, the data suggests that betting on Irving to score anytime might not be a wise decision.
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