Breece Hall (NYJ) Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Breece Hall to go under 22.5 receiving yards is statistically supported by a number of trends. First, Hall has been underperforming in recent games. His overall hit rate for the last 20 games is 6/20, and it's even lower at home with a hit rate of 5/20. His performance against the Falcons is also poor, with a hit rate of 0/1 both overall and at home. More importantly, Hall is on a negative streak. He has not surpassed this yardage mark in his last 3, 5, or 10 games, at home or overall. He's also failed to do so in his last game against the Falcons. This recent performance trend suggests a high probability that Hall will not achieve more than 22.5 receiving yards in the upcoming match against the Falcons. Finally, the model edge of 0.191336895952023 supports the under outcome, indicating the bet has a
Breece Hall (NYJ) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+140)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Looking at Breece Hall's recent performances, there's not a compelling case to bet on him scoring a touchdown at any time during the Jets vs. Falcons game. His overall hit rate is 20/51 (39.2%), which is less than half, and his home hit rate is a bit higher at 7/26 (26.9%), but still not very promising. Most concerning is his lack of scoring success against the Falcons, with a hit rate of 0/1 in all games against them, whether at home or away. Furthermore, his current hit streak is zero across all categories, suggesting he is not in scoring form at the moment. Lastly, his hit rates over the last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games are all very low, indicating a consistent lack of scoring. Therefore, the statistical evidence suggests betting on Hall to score a touchdown in this game would be a high-risk bet.
New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons : Over 38.5 Total Points (-115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Over 38.5 in the 'totals' market for this NFL game is based on several key statistics. Firstly, the average scores for both the home and away teams in their last five games indicate a likelihood of a high-scoring game. The home team's score for and against average is 19.2 and 24.2, respectively, while the away team's is 21.8 and 25.8. Collectively, these averages exceed the 38.5 point benchmark set for this game. In addition, both teams' performance metrics, such as Expected Points Added (EPA) and explosive rate, suggest that they are capable of scoring high points. The home team's overall EPA for is -1.34, but against is 4.18. Similarly, the away team's overall EPA for is -2.87, but against is 2.47. This shows that both teams have the potential to perform well offensively. Furthermore
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Get Bet Better Pro