San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars : San Jose Sharks +1.5 (-154)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Despite having a less impressive record than the Dallas Stars, the San Jose Sharks show potential for a strong performance at home. Their L5 home games show a slightly higher average in goals, assists, and even strength points compared to the Stars' L5 away games. The Sharks also show a consistent scoring average both at home and overall, suggesting a reliable offensive performance. The model predicts a very close game (-0.04), indicating that the Sharks are capable of keeping the game within the 1.5 goal line. While their recent record has not been stellar, these numbers suggest that the Sharks can compete closely with the Stars, especially in a home setting. Therefore, a bet on San Jose Sharks 1.5 in the 'Puck Line' market is statistically reasonable based on these performance metrics.
San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars : Dallas Stars win (-204)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Dallas Stars are the favorable bet in this scenario due to their stronger performance on several fronts. In their last five games, the Stars have had a more robust away record (4-1) compared to the Sharks' home record (2-3). They've also shown superior defensive skills, with an average of 2.4 goals against overall compared to the Sharks' 2.8. Furthermore, the Stars have a better record (3-2) against the Sharks in their last five encounters, indicating a higher probability of success in this match. Finally, the model prediction of 0.75 leans towards the Stars, suggesting that the selected algorithms and data inputs predict a Dallas Stars win. This combination of recent performance indicators and predictive modeling makes the Dallas Stars a compelling choice for this bet.
Jason Robertson (Dallas Stars) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Jason Robertson as an 'Anytime Goalscorer' is backed by a strong statistical performance in his recent away games. Robertson has averaged 0.8 goals in his last five away games, significantly higher than his overall average of 0.4 goals over the same period. He's also been quite active in these games, averaging 3.8 shots. His hit rate in the last seven away games is impressive at 6/7, and he's currently on a two-game hit streak in away games. Although his overall current streak is 0, his performance improves notably when playing away. This pattern, combined with our model prediction of 0.49, which gives a slight edge, supports the bet on Robertson scoring at any time during the game. The player's consistent performance in away games makes this a reasonable bet.
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