Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs : Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 (-147)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 is driven by their superior performance as indicated by the L5 statistics and records. The Leafs have consistently outperformed the Stars, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per away game compared to the Stars' 1.6 at home. Additionally, the Leafs have a stronger away record (4-1) compared to the Stars' home record (3-2). This suggests that the Leafs are more effective in scoring and winning, even in away games. Furthermore, the Leafs have a stronger record against the Stars, with 4 wins out of the last 5 games. The model prediction also favors the Leafs, further reinforcing the rationale for the bet. Therefore, the Leafs' superior offensive performance, better head-to-head record, and stronger away performance make them the logical choice in this bet.
Jake Oettinger (Dallas Stars) Over 22.5 Saves (-120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Looking at Jake Oettinger's recent performances, he has an average of 24.6 saves per game over his last 5 games overall. Although his home game average slightly dips to 20.2 saves, it's important to note that Oettinger faces an average of 27 shots per game overall, with 22.2 average shots against at home games. This suggests that Oettinger has a fairly high save rate, which is promising for an 'over' bet. Furthermore, his recent form demonstrates that he's often capable of making more than 22.5 saves, as he's hit this mark in 3 out of his last 4 games. The model prediction of 24.52, despite a standard deviation of 7.67, is still over the line set by the bookmaker, adding further confidence to Oettinger's ability to surpass 22.5 saves in the upcoming game against the Toronto Maple Leafs.
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