Boston Bruins vs Edmonton Oilers : Edmonton Oilers win (-135)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Edmonton Oilers present a solid betting opportunity based on recent performance and head-to-head records. The Oilers have an impressive away record with 4 wins in their last 5 games, compared to the Bruins who have struggled at home with a 1-4 record. Moreover, the Oilers have been more potent on offense, averaging 2.6 goals per game compared to the Bruins' 1.0 at home. Edmonton has also showed better defensive performance with fewer shots against per game. Even though the Bruins have a slight edge in the recent head-to-head record (3-2), the Oilers' current form and the model prediction of 0.73 favor the Oilers. This combination of factors suggests the Oilers are statistically more likely to win this match-up.
Morgan Geekie (Boston Bruins) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-189)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Jeremy Swayman (Boston Bruins) Over 24.5 Saves (-125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Jeremy Swayman's statistical performance makes the over 24.5 total saves a solid bet. His average saves in the last five home games stand at 28, which is significantly higher than the betting line. Also, his shots against average at home is 30, indicating that he frequently faces a high volume of shots, thus increasing his chances of making more saves. Furthermore, the model prediction of 26.44 supports the likelihood of Swayman making over 24.5 saves. Considering his recent form, he has hit this mark in 5 out of his last 6 home games and 11 out of his last 14 matches overall. Hence, given Swayman's strong home performance and high save averages, there is a strong rationale for betting on him to make over 24.5 saves.
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