David Pastrnak (Boston Bruins) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+140)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on David Pastrnak as an 'Anytime Goalscorer' is backed by a combination of his overall performance and recent form. Pastrnak's average goal rate in his last 5 home games stands at 0.6, which is higher than his overall average of 0.4. This shows his strong performance at home, which is further indicated by his current home hit streak of 1. The model prediction of 0.48, coupled with his L5 home games shots average of 2.8, suggests that Pastrnak has a solid chance of scoring. Additionally, his hit rate in the last 6 home games is 50% (3/6), demonstrating his consistent scoring ability. Therefore, given these statistics, the bet on Pastrnak scoring in the game against the Ottawa Senators seems rational.
Boston Bruins vs Ottawa Senators : Boston Bruins +1.5 (-217)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting rationale for Boston Bruins at 1.5 is primarily rooted in their performance in recent games. Although their record in the last five home games (2-3) appears less impressive than the Senators' away record (3-2), a glance at their overall L5 records reveals an equal performance (3-2). Furthermore, the Bruins have been more effective on both ends of the ice, with an average of 2.2 goals per game compared to the Senators' 1.4. They also allow fewer goals on average with 2.8 against the Senators' 3.2. The Bruins have also shown superiority in shots per game, outperforming the Senators by a margin of 16 to 14.6. Despite the Senators' recent success against the Bruins (4-1), the Bruins' stronger offensive and defensive statistics, paired with the model's prediction, make them the favorable bet in this scenario.
Boston Bruins vs Ottawa Senators : Ottawa Senators win (-143)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on the Ottawa Senators is driven by their superior performance against the Boston Bruins in recent games and overall stronger stats in certain areas. The Senators have shown commendable performance in the last 5 games against the Bruins, boasting a 4-1 win record compared to the Bruins' 1-4. Additionally, the Senators have a higher average for assists and goals in recent away games compared to the Bruins' home games. The Senators have also been efficient in defense, allowing fewer shots against them than the Bruins. The model prediction of 0.61 also leans towards the Senators, suggesting that they have a stronger chance of securing a win in this matchup. This combination of recent head-to-head success and solid statistical performance makes the Ottawa Senators a compelling choice for this bet.
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