George Kittle (SF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+145)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on George Kittle to score a touchdown anytime during the San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks game seems reasonable considering his performance against Seattle specifically. Despite having a low overall hit rate (18/62) and an even poorer recent performance (0/3 in the last three games, 0/5 in the last five games), Kittle's performance against Seattle stands out. He has scored in 3 out of 4 matches against Seahawks, and in the only home game against them, he was successful. This indicates that he tends to perform better against this specific opponent. His current hit streak vs Seattle is 2, suggesting a positive trend. The model also shows a 9.4% edge for this outcome, further bolstering the case. However, his recent form should be taken into consideration, as he hasn't been scoring frequently.
San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks : Over 47.5 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The rationale for betting on Over 47.5 in the 'totals' market is based on the recent scoring performances of both teams. The home team has averaged 34.6 points in their last five games, while the away team has averaged 29.2 points. Combined, this is well over the 47.5 point threshold. Furthermore, both teams have been performing well overall, with each team winning five of their last five games. The home team's Expected Points Added (EPA) for the last five games is 15.06, which indicates efficient offensive play. Similarly, the away team's EPA is 4.24, indicating they are also likely to contribute to the total score. There are also indicators that both teams are vulnerable defensively, with the home team allowing an average of 21.2 points per game and the away team allowing 14.4. This could lead to a high-scoring game, justifying a bet on Over 47.
San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks : Over 47.5 Total Points (-118)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Over 47.5 in the 'totals' market for this game makes sense given the recent scoring output from both teams. The home team has been scoring an average of 34.6 points over their last five games, and the away team has been scoring an average of 29.2 points over the same period. Combined, this is well over the 47.5 point threshold. Moreover, the home team's defense has allowed an average of 21.2 points per game, while the away team's defense has conceded 14.4 points per game. This implies that both teams have the offensive ability to score and the defenses may allow more points. The high Expected Points Added (EPA) for both teams further supports this, suggesting successful offensive play. Lastly, the records show that both teams have been performing well recently (5-0 overall L5 for both), indicating strong form and high-scoring potential.
San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks : NA +1.5 Point Spread (-108)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on the San Francisco 49ers 1.5 in the 'spreads' market is a solid choice, backed by robust data and performance stats. In their last five overall games, the 49ers have an excellent record (5-0) and have outscored their opponents by an average of 13.4 points per game. They have also maintained a positive Expected Points Added (EPA) differential of 16, indicating that they have been efficient on both sides of the ball. In head-to-head matchups, the 49ers have a strong record against their opponents (4-1), further supporting their favored status. Moreover, the 49ers have outperformed their opponents in generating explosive plays, which can significantly alter the course of a game. Although the opposing team has also performed well recently, their record against the 49ers (1-4) gives the edge to the 49ers. Ultimately, the 49ers' strong performance stats
Brock Purdy (SF) Under 15.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on Brock Purdy to rush for under 15.5 yards in the San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks game is a compelling choice, mainly due to Purdy's recent performance and hit rates. Purdy's overall hit rate for the last 5 games is 0/5 and for the last 10 games, it's a low 1/10. His recent performance at home is also weak, with a hit rate of 1/5 for the last 5 home games and 3/10 for the last 10. While his performance against the Seahawks has been slightly better (3/5 in the last 5 games), this isn't sufficient to overcome his overall poor recent record. Additionally, Purdy's current hit streak is zero for all categories (overall, home, vs Seahawks, and vs Seahawks at home), further supporting the prediction that he will rush for under 15.5 yards.
Brock Purdy (SF) Under 14.5 Rushing Yards (-109)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Brock Purdy to have under 14.5 rushing yards is supported by several key statistics. Firstly, Purdy's overall hit rate for achieving under this figure is 29/54, indicating a majority of his games fall below this mark. Secondly, his recent performance shows a downward trend with zero successful hits in his last five games overall and three at home. Additionally, his hit rate against Seattle is 3/5, suggesting their defense effectively limits his rushing ability. Furthermore, his hit rate at home against Seattle is 1/2, reinforcing the idea that this particular matchup may not favor his rushing game. Lastly, his current hit streak for all categories is zero, demonstrating a recent pattern of underperformance. Thus, the statistical evidence strongly suggests that Purdy is likely to rush for less than 14.5 yards in the upcoming game against the Seahawks.
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