Ricky Pearsall (SF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+220)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
While the model edge for Ricky Pearsall to score a touchdown in the upcoming game is positive, it's crucial to consider his recent and historical performance. Pearsall has a hit rate of 0 in his last 5 games overall, at home, and against the Seattle Seahawks. His hit rates over his last 10 and 20 games show a similar trend, as he's only scored in 1 out of 10 and 3 out of 19 games, respectively. His historical performance against the Seahawks is also poor, with no touchdowns in any past games. Despite the model's edge, Pearsall's poor scoring record does not support a bet on him to score a touchdown in this game. Therefore, based on his past performance and trends, it is statistically unlikely that Pearsall will score a touchdown in the upcoming game.
Jauan Jennings (SF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+175)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
While the model edge suggests a potential for Jauan Jennings to score a touchdown, his recent performance data does not support this. Over the last five games overall, and when playing at home, Jennings has no touchdowns. Looking at his record against Seattle specifically, he has scored a touchdown once in the last five games, and once in the three games played at home against Seattle. His overall hit streak currently stands at zero, indicating he hasn't scored a touchdown in the last game. The overall hit rates, both for all games (5/62) and home games (3/30), are also low. Given this data, Jennings' scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game against the Seahawks is not statistically probable. This data suggests that betting on 'Yes' for Jennings in the 'player_anytime_td' market might not be the most promising bet.
George Kittle (SF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+145)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on George Kittle to score a touchdown anytime during the San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks game seems reasonable considering his performance against Seattle specifically. Despite having a low overall hit rate (18/62) and an even poorer recent performance (0/3 in the last three games, 0/5 in the last five games), Kittle's performance against Seattle stands out. He has scored in 3 out of 4 matches against Seahawks, and in the only home game against them, he was successful. This indicates that he tends to perform better against this specific opponent. His current hit streak vs Seattle is 2, suggesting a positive trend. The model also shows a 9.4% edge for this outcome, further bolstering the case. However, his recent form should be taken into consideration, as he hasn't been scoring frequently.
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