Pittsburgh Penguins vs New Jersey Devils : New Jersey Devils +4.5 (-5000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on New Jersey Devils 4.5 is primarily driven by the comparative defensive performance of both teams. The L5 stats show that Pittsburgh Penguins have a high average of Goals Against (3.6) compared to New Jersey Devils (3.4) in their respective recent home and away games. This implies that the Devils could potentially leverage the Penguins' weaker defense. Additionally, the Penguins have a low average of Goals For (2.0) in their recent home games, which further strengthens the Devils' chances of maintaining a smaller goal difference. Also, the model prediction is very close to zero (-0.06), suggesting a high likelihood of a tight game. The Devils' recent head-to-head record against the Penguins (3-2) also supports this outcome. Although the Penguins' overall recent performance is better, the specific dynamics of this matchup favor a closer game, making the New Jersey Devils 4.5 a reasonable bet.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs New Jersey Devils : Pittsburgh Penguins +4.5 (-5000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on the Pittsburgh Penguins at a 4.5 spread is supported by the team's recent performance data. Pittsburgh has been consistently outscoring their opponents, with an average of 2 goals per game in their last five games, while the New Jersey Devils have been struggling on the road, averaging a mere 0.4 goals in their last five away games. Pittsburgh's strong home record of 4-1 also provides confidence for this bet. The Devils have been struggling defensively, allowing an average of 3.4 goals against in their last five away games, while the Penguins have been solid at home, allowing only 2.4 goals against on average. The model's prediction also favors Pittsburgh with a -0.06 prediction, indicating a close game, but one where the Penguins should come out ahead. This data suggests that the Penguins are more likely to cover the 4.5 spread.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs New Jersey Devils : New Jersey Devils +1.5 (-263)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on the New Jersey Devils +1.5 is driven by the team's recent performance against the Pittsburgh Penguins. Despite the Devils' overall struggles, they have shown a promising record against the Penguins, winning 3 out of their last 5 encounters. Furthermore, the Penguins have been struggling to maintain a strong goal differential in their home games, scoring an average of 2 goals while conceding an average of 3.6 goals. This suggests that the Penguins might not be able to win by a large margin. The model prediction of -0.06 also indicates a close contest. Therefore, betting on the Devils at +1.5 provides a cushion of one goal and increases the chances of a successful wager, even if they lose by one goal. It's a strategic move based on comparative team performance and model insights.
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