Blake Coleman (Calgary Flames) Under 2.5 Shots On Goal (-192)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Blake Coleman for under 2.5 in the 'Player Shots On Goal' market is largely driven by his recent performance and the model's prediction. Coleman's average shots on goal in his last five away games is 1, which is significantly lower than the line set at 2.5. His overall shots average from the last five games also stands at 1.6, still noticeably below the line. The model predicts Coleman will have 1.2 shots on goal, aligning with his recent performance. While he has a consistent hit rate in his last six away games, it doesn't translate to a high shot volume. His overall current hit streak is zero, indicating a recent drop in performance. Therefore, the data suggests that Coleman is unlikely to exceed 2.5 shots on goal in the upcoming game.
Boston Bruins vs Calgary Flames : Calgary Flames +1.5 (-217)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Calgary Flames +1.5 makes sense when considering the recent performances of both teams. The Flames have a superior record against the Bruins in their last 5 meetings, winning 4 out of 5 games. While both teams have a 2-3 record in their last 5 games overall, the Bruins have struggled more at home, with a 2-3 record, and have conceded an average of 4 goals per game in their last 5 home games. This points to defensive vulnerabilities that the Flames could exploit. The model's prediction, which is quite close to zero, suggests that the game could be very evenly matched. Therefore, giving the Flames a 1.5 goal head start might be a wise move, as their recent head-to-head record and the Bruins' home difficulties indicate they have a good chance of covering this puck line.
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