Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins : Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 (-179)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Linus Ullmark (Ottawa Senators) Over 22.5 Saves (-120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The rationale behind this bet is largely based on Linus Ullmark's recent performance, specifically his save averages and streaks. In his last five home games, Ullmark has maintained an average of 23.8 saves, which is above the proposed line of 22.5. This indicates that he's been consistently meeting and exceeding this line while playing at home. Furthermore, his overall save average in the last five games (22.6) is also very close to the line, which is a good indicator of his general performance regardless of location. Ullmark has also shown an increasing trend in his save ability, with a current home game hit streak of 1 and an overall hit streak of 3. This steady performance, coupled with the model's prediction of 24.1 saves (above the line), makes a strong case for betting over 22.5 on Ullmark's total saves.
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