Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-208)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Rhamondre Stevenson to hit over 14.5 reception yards in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market for the Patriots vs. Texans game does not seem prudent based on current statistics. The running back's recent performance and trends do not suggest a high likelihood of success for this bet. Stevenson has not achieved this mark in any of his last five games, either at home or overall. His overall hit rate for this market is at a low 32% (19 out of 59), and at home, it's slightly better but still less than ideal at 34% (10 out of 29). Furthermore, he's currently on a zero-game hit streak both overall and at home. The model edge of 0.183 suggests a slight advantage, but given Stevenson's recent form, it's not substantial enough to confidently predict that he will overcome this trend.
Hunter Henry (NE) Under 39.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical data strongly supports betting under 39.5 for Hunter Henry's reception yards in the upcoming game between the New England Patriots and the Houston Texans. Henry's recent performance indicates a trend of not exceeding this threshold. He has failed to hit this mark in his last 5 overall games, last 5 home games, and even in his last encounter with the Texans. His overall hit rate is less than 40% (25/63), further underscoring the likelihood of him staying under 39.5 yards. Even when considering a broader range of games, his hit rates are below-average; he's 2/20 for his last 20 overall games, and 4/20 for his last 20 home games. Additionally, Henry is currently on a hitless streak both overall and at home. Considering these statistics and trends, the data suggests a strong likelihood of Henry staying under 39.5 reception yards in the upcoming game.
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-345)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Rhamondre Stevenson for Over 1.5 in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market is a strong choice based on the player's recent performance and hit rates. Stevenson has an overall current hit streak of 6 and a home current hit streak of 4, suggesting a strong performance trend. Looking at the overall hit rate, Stevenson has a success rate of approximately 76% (45/59), and a home hit rate of approximately 83% (24/29). This pattern of performance is consistent even in the short term, with hit rates of 100% for the last 3 and 5 games. While the hit rate over the last 10 games is slightly lower at 70%, this is still a strong indicator of Stevenson's reliable performance. Therefore, the statistical data supports a bet on Stevenson to have over 1.5 receptions in the upcoming game against the Houston Texans.
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