Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Prediction & Picks (Malik Washington Impact) : Smart Props & Lines

The data provided does not support a bet on Malik Washington to exceed 6.5 rushing yards in the upcoming game between the Miami Dolphins and the New York Jets. Washington's recent performance has been far from promising, with a current overall hit streak of 0. More specifically, he has not exceeded this yardage in his last three games overall, his last three home games, or his last two games against the Jets, both overall and at home. Looking at longer periods, his hit rates over his last 5, 10, and 20 games, regardless of venue or opponent, are also low. Even his overall hit rate is a mere 3 out of 15. All these factors point to a trend of underperformance. Therefore, betting on Washington to go over 6.5 rushing yards would be against the prevailing statistical trends.

Tyreek Hill (MIA) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+130)

While Tyreek Hill hasn't been scoring touchdowns recently, with 0 in his last 3 overall games and a current hit streak of 0, our betting rationale leans towards "Yes" in the 'player_anytime_td' market for the Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets game. This is primarily based on Hill's historical performance data, which shows a higher likelihood of scoring when playing at home and against the Jets. Hill has a 50% hit rate at home in his last 20 games (10/20) and a 40% hit rate when playing against the Jets historically (2/5). Furthermore, when playing against the Jets at home, Hill has scored at least once in 50% of the games (1/2). With the game being at Miami's home ground and against the Jets, these statistics suggest a decent chance for Hill to score a touchdown in this game. Therefore, despite his recent form, historical trends favor Hill to score anytime in this match

Tyreek Hill (MIA) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+130)

Betting on Tyreek Hill to score a touchdown anytime during the Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets game is a calculated risk. Despite Hill's recent overall performance being subpar (0/3 in the last three games and 0/5 in the last five), his performance against the Jets, particularly at home, has been stronger. Hill scored in 2/3 of the last three games against the Jets and 1/2 of the last three home games against the Jets. Looking at a larger sample size, Hill's home hit rate overall is at 44% (11/25). He also maintains a hit rate of 40% (2/5) versus NYJ overall and 50% (1/2) in home games against them. Despite his recent dry spell, these statistics suggest that Hill has a reasonable chance of scoring a touchdown in this particular match-up.

Malik Washington (MIA) Over 4.5 Player rush yds alternate (-172)

The data suggests a cautious approach to betting on Malik Washington to exceed 4.5 rushing yards in the upcoming game against the New York Jets. Washington's recent performance shows a lack of consistent productivity. His overall hit rate in the last 20 games is only 20% (3/15) and his hit rate at home matches this at 16.7% (1/6). In his last 5 games, he has failed to hit the over, and his current hit streak is at zero, showing a lack of momentum. Furthermore, his past performance against the Jets is notably weak. He has failed to hit the over in all of his last two games against them, both at home and away. Despite the small model edge of 0.034, the extensive trend data suggests a lower likelihood of Washington surpassing 4.5 rushing yards in the upcoming game.