Bo Nix (DEN) Under 20.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical data strongly supports a bet on Bo Nix to rush for under 20.5 yards in the upcoming Denver Broncos versus Cincinnati Bengals game. Firstly, Nix's recent performance has shown a consistent inability to reach this number. He has not hit the over in his last 3 games overall, last 3 home games, or the last game against Cincinnati. This downward trend extends even further, with Nix failing to hit the over in 5 consecutive games overall. Additionally, his overall hit rate is low. Out of 21 total games, he's only surpassed 20.5 rushing yards 7 times. His home hit rate is only marginally better at 4/9. Against Cincinnati, he has never managed to surpass this mark. Given these data points and current hit streaks of zero in all categories, the under 20.5 for Bo Nix's rushing yards is a solid bet. The model edge of 0.1625 also indicates a potential value
Nate Adkins (DEN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1400)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting rationale for Nate Adkins to score a touchdown at any time during the Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals game is not strongly supported by recent performance data. Adkins' overall hit rate in the last 20 games is 3/16, with a 0-game hit streak. His performance at home is slightly better, with a hit rate of 3/10. However, his past performance against Cincinnati Bengals is less promising, with a hit rate of 0/1. Therefore, the statistical data does not provide a robust base for betting on Adkins to score a touchdown in this game. While the model edge is 0.156554482153051, suggesting some advantage, the player's inconsistent performance makes this a risky bet. In conclusion, considering Adkins' performance trends and hit rates, betting on him to score a touchdown in this game would be a gamble against the odds.
Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals : NA Moneyline (+360)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical data favors a Cincinnati Bengals win in the head-to-head (h2h) market. The Bengals' home overall performance in the last five games shows a positive point differential (3.6), indicating they score more than they concede. Additionally, they have a positive EPA differential, signifying more efficient plays, and a positive turnover differential, suggesting they lose the ball less often than their opponents. Comparatively, the away team has a negative point differential (-5), EPA differential (-5.80), and turnover differential (-1), indicating weaker performance. Additionally, the Bengals' home record in the last five games is exceptional (5-0), suggesting a strong home-field advantage. While the away team also has a strong record in their last five games (4-1), their performance against the Bengals specifically is less impressive, with a record of 1-0 in favor of the Bengals. Thus, the statistics suggest a higher probability of a Bengals' victory.
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Get Bet Better Pro