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Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction & Picks : Odds & Edges

September 29th | 06:48 PM GMT Read time icon 2 min read
Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction & Picks : Odds & Edges
Predictions

Expert breakdown for Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals. Key player angle: Courtland Sutton. Discover NFL predictions, Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals odds, betting preview, top props.

Courtland Sutton (DEN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+138)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Courtland Sutton's recent performance and historical hit rates suggest a moderate likelihood of him scoring a touchdown anytime during the Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals game. Despite his overall lack of touchdowns in recent games, with 0 in the last 3 and only 1 in the last 5, Sutton's home game and against Cincinnati Bengals performance indicate a more favorable outcome. His home hit rate stands at 2/3 in the last 3 games and 2/5 in the last 5 games. Moreover, Sutton has scored in his last game against the Bengals, maintaining a 100% hit rate. Additionally, the model provides an edge of 0.0819, suggesting that it sees some value in this bet. However, bettors should be cautious due to his current zero streak in overall and home games. The decision to bet should consider these mixed signals.

Courtland Sutton (DEN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Courtland Sutton to score a touchdown at any time in the Denver Broncos versus Cincinnati Bengals game seems like a reasonable wager, especially considering Sutton’s historically solid performance against the Bengals. Sutton has scored in each of his past encounters with Cincinnati, boasting a 1/1 hit rate. In terms of home game performance, Sutton's hit rate is also stronger, with a 2/3 hit rate in his last three home games and an 8/23 overall home hit rate. These data points suggest that Sutton performs slightly better at home and against the Bengals. However, it's important to note that Sutton's overall recent performance has been inconsistent with a current hit streak of 0 and a 1/5 hit rate over his last five games. Nonetheless, the model edge of 0.0765935211232745 suggests a slight statistical advantage, providing a rationale for this bet.

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