Dalton Schultz (HOU) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+205)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
While the model edge for Dalton Schultz scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game is positive, his recent performance trends don't necessarily back this up. Schultz has not scored a touchdown in his last 3, 5, and even 10 games overall, with a similar trend seen in his home games. This is reflected in his current hit streaks of zero for both overall and home games. However, what is interesting is his performance against the Arizona Cardinals. He has scored in all his recent matches against them, whether overall, at home, or away. This includes a current hit streak of 1 in these instances. Nevertheless, given Schultz's poor overall and home performance, his successful track record against Arizona might not be enough to confidently back him to score a touchdown in this game. The data suggests it might be a risky bet.
Nico Collins (HOU) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Statistically, betting on Nico Collins to score a touchdown in the player anytime touchdown market does not have strong support. Collins' recent performance and overall hit rates suggest a low probability of him scoring a touchdown. In his last 5 games overall and at home, he hasn't scored a touchdown (0/5). Furthermore, Collins has never scored against the Arizona Cardinals, either at home or away (0/1). His overall hit rate is 15 out of 53, and at home, it's slightly better at 12 out of 26. However, his current hit streak in all categories is zero. The model edge is also quite small at 0.0261, indicating a slim projected advantage for this bet. Therefore, based on the provided data, betting on Collins to score a touchdown in this game would be a high-risk bet.
C.J. Stroud (HOU) Over 10.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on C.J. Stroud for over 10.5 in the 'player_rush_yds' market for the Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals game presents a high risk, based on the provided statistics. Stroud's recent performance does not inspire confidence, with an overall hit rate of 16/46. This trend worsens when looking at his home hit rate, which stands at 6/22, and his hit rate against the Cardinals, which is 0/1. Furthermore, Stroud has failed to hit over 10.5 yards in his last 10 attempts overall, his last 10 home games, and his only game against the Cardinals. His current hit streak in all categories is 0, signaling a clear downward trend. Therefore, statistical reasoning suggests that betting on Stroud to achieve more than 10.5 rushing yards in this match might not be the most promising wager.
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