Andrei Iosivas (CIN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+205)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting data suggests that Andrei Iosivas is unlikely to score a touchdown in the upcoming game. His recent performance statistics indicate a lack of scoring, with an overall hit rate of 0 in his last 5 games, and he has not scored at home in the past 3 games. His track record against the Baltimore Ravens is similarly unimpressive, with a hit rate of 0 in his last 2 games against them. At home, his hit rate against Baltimore is also 0. His overall hit rate is only 8/37, and his home hit rate is slightly better at 6/20. However, his hit rate against Baltimore overall is 0/2. His current hit streak in all categories is 0. These statistics point to a low probability of Iosivas scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game, making a bet on him scoring a touchdown a risky proposition.
Mike Gesicki (CIN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+195)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical data for Mike Gesicki doesn't support a bet on him to score a touchdown at any time in the upcoming game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens. Gesicki's overall hit rate is low, with only 7 touchdowns in his last 57 games. His performance at home is also not promising, scoring only 3 times in 27 games. His historical performance against the Ravens isn't much better, with just one touchdown in three games. Furthermore, his current hit streak in all categories is zero, signifying he hasn't scored a touchdown in his recent games. Despite the model's edge of 0.163, the extensive historical data paints a picture of Gesicki being unlikely to score during the game. Therefore, betting on Gesicki for a touchdown may not be a wise decision given these statistics.
Chase Brown (CIN) Under 20.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Chase Brown for Under 20.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market is backed by a combination of the player's recent performance and hit rate trends. The data shows that Brown has not been performing well lately, with a current hit streak of zero both overall and at home. His overall hit rate for the last 10 games is 0/10 and for the last 20 games, it's just 2/20, which suggests a recurring pattern of underperformance. Despite the fact that he has a positive hit rate against the Ravens (2/3) and at home against the Ravens (2/2), his overall and home performance trends do not support a bet for him to outperform in this game. Considering this data and the model edge of 0.1587 favoring the under, it seems statistically sound to bet Under 20.5 on Chase Brown's reception yards.
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