Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Under 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical evidence strongly supports a bet on Jahmyr Gibbs to finish with Under 20.5 reception yards in the Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns game. Gibbs has a concerning hit rate in recent games, failing to exceed this yardage total in his last three games overall (0/3) and at home (0/3). This trend extends to his last five and ten games, with hit rates of 0/5 and 1/10 respectively. Furthermore, his overall hit rate stands at a mere 16/39 and is marginally better at home with a hit rate of 7/20. The model edge of 0.16683208179332 also supports this bet, suggesting that there is a significant statistical advantage in predicting Gibbs to underperform. Furthermore, Gibbs is not currently on a hit streak, implying that his recent form doesn't command confidence to bet on him exceeding this yardage total.
David Montgomery (DET) Under 1.5 Receptions (-179)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical trends for David Montgomery's reception performance suggest that the under 1.5 bet is a relatively secure choice. Over the past 5 games, Montgomery has been under 1.5 receptions in 3 of them, showing a 60% hit rate. This is higher than his overall hit rate of 45% (23 out of 51 games). Furthermore, in the last 3 games played at home, Montgomery went under 1.5 receptions twice, showing a 67% hit rate. He also is on a current streak of under 1.5 receptions in the last 2 games. Although there's only a slight model edge of approximately 10.5%, these statistics support the under 1.5 bet for Montgomery's receptions in the Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+145)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical data indicates that betting on Amon-Ra St. Brown to score a touchdown at any time during the Lions vs. Browns game may not be a particularly strong bet. Over his last five games, both overall and at home, St. Brown has failed to score a touchdown. His hit rate for the last five games is 0/5 overall and 1/5 at home. Over his last 10 games, his overall hit rate is slightly better at 3/10, but still below average. His home hit rate for the same period is marginally better at 4/10. His overall and home hit streaks are both currently at 0. While his overall hit rate is 25/56 and home hit rate is 11/28, his recent performance does not demonstrate a strong likelihood of scoring. The model gives only a 0.0939621707107691 edge, suggesting this is a riskier bet.
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Get Bet Better Pro