Bo Nix (DEN) Under 20.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting rationale for under 20.5 rushing yards for Bo Nix in the Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders game is notably supported by recent performance data and trends. Nix's overall hit rate for the past 3, 5, and 10 games is 0, indicating a consistent inability to exceed the proposed rushing yards threshold. Even when considering his home performance, his hit rate stands at 3/10 in the last 10 games and 4/12 overall. Despite having a perfect hit rate when playing against Las Vegas Raiders, those games were only a fraction of the total and may not be representative of his overall performance. Additionally, his current hit streak is zero for both overall and home games, further strengthening the case for wagering under 20.5 rushing yards. The model's edge of 0.165 also leans towards the under, suggesting a statistical advantage in this direction.
Troy Franklin (DEN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+180)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Troy Franklin to score a touchdown anytime in the game between the Denver Broncos and the Las Vegas Raiders may not be statistically appealing based on his recent performances and trends. Franklin's overall hit rate for the last 20 games is a meager 1/20, and his hit rate at home is only marginally better at 2/12. When facing the Las Vegas Raiders, his hit rate is 0/2, which doesn't inspire much confidence either. Furthermore, he has not managed to score a touchdown in any of his last 5 or 10 games, a trend that is consistent both at home and against the Raiders. His overall, home, and vs Las Vegas current hit streaks all stand at zero. Despite the model edge of 0.144875983304095, Franklin's statistical performance history suggests it might be a risky bet.
Courtland Sutton (DEN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+155)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Courtland Sutton to score a touchdown at any time during the Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders game seems a risky proposition based on the provided statistics. Sutton's overall hit rate is 19 out of 57, representing a success rate of just 33%. His performance at home games is slightly better, with a hit rate of 8 out of 26 (nearly 31%). However, his recent form has been weak, failing to score in the last 5 games overall and in the last 3 home games. Even against the Raiders, his record is mixed with a hit rate of 3 out of 6 overall and 1 out of 3 at home. Given this data and his current hit streak of zero, the chances of Sutton scoring a touchdown in this game seem relatively low.
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