Rome Odunze (CHI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+225)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Statistical analysis reveals a weak rationale for betting on Rome Odunze to score a touchdown at any time in the upcoming game between the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers. Odunze's recent performance and trends do not favor this outcome. In fact, he has failed to score a touchdown in his last 10 overall games, last 10 home games, and last 2 games against the Packers. His overall hit rate is just 2 out of 29, and he hasn't scored a touchdown in 14 home games or any of the games he's played against the Packers. The lack of a current hit streak in any category further weakens the betting argument. Despite a model edge of 0.194586214234951, the persistent negative performance metrics make this a risky bet. The data suggests it's statistically unlikely that Odunze will score a touchdown during the game.
Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers : NA -1.5 Point Spread (+102)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on the Chicago Bears at -1.5 in the spreads market is backed by several key statistics. Firstly, the Bears have outperformed the opposing team in their last five games, with an average point differential of +4 compared to the opposing team's -7.4. This indicates the Bears' superior ability to outscore their opponents. Additionally, the Bears have a positive home record of 4-1, further supporting their strong performance. They also have a better expected points added (EPA) differential both overall and at home, suggesting they are more effective on both sides of the ball. Furthermore, the Bears have a positive turnover differential, which is a crucial factor in winning games. On the other hand, the opposing team has negative differentials in EPA, point scoring, and turnovers, and a weaker away record of 2-3. These statistics point towards the Bears being the statistically superior team, making them a sound bet at -1.5 in the
Caleb Williams (CHI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+390)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting data for Caleb Williams to score an anytime touchdown in the match between the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers does not seem promising. His overall, home, and against Green Bay hit rates are all zero in the last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games, which indicates a consistent lack of scoring. This includes home games and games against Green Bay specifically, both home and away. His overall hit rate is zero out of 34 attempts, showing a persistent scoring drought. Additionally, his current hit streaks in all categories remain at zero. Therefore, based on Williams' recent performance and trends, it may not be statistically sound to bet on him scoring an anytime touchdown in this match. Despite the model edge of 0.171455315935394, the historical data does not support a positive outcome.
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