Tommy Tremble (CAR) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-213)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Tommy Tremble to have over 1.5 receptions in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market is a rational choice considering his overall performance. Tremble has a hit rate of 50% overall (26/52), which suggests he's equally likely to exceed or fall short of this target. However, his home hit rate is more promising, with a success rate of approximately 52% (14/27). Moreover, over the last 20 games, Tremble has a 50% overall hit rate (10/20) and a stronger home hit rate of 65% (13/20). While his recent form has been less consistent, the larger sample size of his home performance indicates a higher probability for him to make at least 2 receptions in the upcoming game against the Los Angeles Rams. Therefore, the model's edge of 0.197 suggests there is value in placing this bet.
Tommy Tremble (CAR) Over 2.5 Receptions (+138)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Tommy Tremble to have over 2.5 receptions in the Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams game could be a risky move. The statistical trends show that Tremble has a relatively low hit rate for this outcome, with only 12 successes out of 52 overall and 6 out of 27 at home. His recent performance also does not inspire confidence, with just one hit in his last five games overall and none in his last three home games. His overall hit rate is just over 23% and at home it's around 22%. The model edge of 0.186 suggests there is some value in this bet, but it's a relatively small edge and given Tremble's recent performance and historical trends, it's a bet that carries a significant risk.
Jalen Coker (CAR) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+320)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Jalen Coker to score a touchdown at any time during the game between the Carolina Panthers and the Los Angeles Rams seems to be a risky choice based on his recent performance statistics. Over his last 5 games, he has not scored a touchdown, and his overall hit rate in the last 20 games is only 2 out of 20, reflecting a success rate of only 10%. Furthermore, his performance at home does not present a significantly different picture, with his home hit rate only being 1 out of 11 overall. His current hit streak, both overall and at home, is zero. Therefore, the model's edge of 14.45% seems optimistic. Betting on Coker to score a touchdown would be a long-shot based on these statistics and recent form.
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