Best NFL Parlay Picks Today, Wednesday 01/07 (7-Leg)

Betting on Xavier Legette for Over 0.5 in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market is statistically promising based on his recent performance. Legette has a strong track record, with a 100% hit rate in the last 5 games and a 90% hit rate in the last 10 games overall. His performance at home is equally impressive, with a hit rate of 90% in the last 10 home games. The data also shows that Legette is currently on a 7-game hit streak overall and a 3-game hit streak at home. Furthermore, his overall hit rate is near perfect at 29 out of 30 games, which suggests a high probability of a hit in the upcoming game. The model edge of approximately 0.13 also favors this bet. Given these strong indicators, betting on Xavier Legette for Over 0.5 in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market is statistically justifiable.

Bryce Young (CAR) Over 124.5 Player pass yds alternate (-714)

The prop bet on Bryce Young for Over 124.5 passing yards in the Panthers vs Rams game is statistically challenging. Young's recent performance doesn't suggest a high probability of surpassing this benchmark. His overall hit rate in the last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games has been relatively poor with 0/3, 0/5, 0/10, and 4/20 respectively. This shows a consistent failure to exceed the 124.5 passing yards mark. Additionally, he is on a zero-game hit streak both overall and at home, indicating a lack of recent success. However, his home hit rate in the last 20 games is 50%, and his overall hit rate is slightly above 50% (24/46). This suggests that he has occasionally performed better at home and overall. But given the recent trends, betting on Young to surpass 124.5 passing yards is a high-risk wager.

Parker Washington (JAX) Over 2.5 Player receptions alternate (-476)

Betting on Parker Washington to have Over 2.5 receptions in the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills game is a reasonable proposition based on his recent performance and hit rate trends. Washington has consistently achieved this target, as indicated by his overall hit rate in the last 20 games (13/20), his hit rate in the last 10 games (8/10), and his hit rate in the last 5 games (4/5). This trend extends to his home game performance, with a hit rate of 7/10 in the last 10 games and 3/5 in the last 5 games. Currently, he is on a 4-game hit streak overall and a 2-game hit streak at home. Although Washington has not met this target in his previous game against the Bills, his consistent performances suggest a strong likelihood of achieving over 2.5 receptions in the upcoming game.

Caleb Williams (CHI) Over 124.5 Player pass yds alternate (-1250)

The statistical data suggests that betting on Caleb Williams to pass for over 124.5 yards in the 'player_pass_yds_alternate' market may not be a good choice. His overall hit rate in the last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games is quite low, showing a clear trend of not meeting this target. The same trend is evident in his home games, with zero successful bets in the last 3 and 5 games and only one in the last 10 games. His overall hit rate is just over 40% (14/34). However, there is a glimmer of hope in his performance against the Green Bay Packers. He has a 100% hit rate in the last 2, 5, and 10 games against Green Bay, suggesting that he performs particularly well against this opposition. But considering the broader trends and his recent lack of form, it may still be a risky bet.

Jalen Coker (CAR) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-588)

Betting on Jalen Coker to have over 1.5 receptions in the upcoming Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams game seems like a sound choice based on his recent performance and trends. Coker has been consistently exceeding this prop bet, as evidenced by his overall hit rate of 18/22 and a remarkable home hit rate of 10/11. The consistency extends to his recent performances too; he has an overall hit rate of 9/10 in the last 10 games and a perfect 5/5 in the last 5 games. His current hit streak stands at 8 overall, and even more impressively, he has a 10-game hit streak at home. The model also gives a positive edge of 0.1376. All of these statistics suggest a strong likelihood of Coker achieving over 1.5 receptions in the upcoming game, making this bet a statistically sound choice.

Tommy Tremble (CAR) Over 0.5 Player receptions alternate (-1111)

Betting on Tommy Tremble for Over 0.5 in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market is a statistically sound decision. Tremble's recent performance and trends strongly favor this outcome. Over the last 20 games, Tremble has an overall hit rate of 19/20 and a perfect home hit rate of 20/20. His overall hit rate is an impressive 48/52, and at home, it's an even better 25/27. His current hit streaks further support this bet, with a 6-game overall hit streak and a remarkable 21-game home hit streak. These statistics indicate that Tremble consistently receives the ball in both home and away games, and his home performance is particularly strong. Given these data points and the model's edge of 0.0626, it's statistically likely that Tremble will have over 0.5 receptions in the upcoming game against the Los Angeles Rams.