Zay Flowers (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on Zay Flowers to score a touchdown at any time in the game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers appears to be a risky proposition based on his recent performance and overall hit rates. Flowers has not scored any touchdowns in his last five overall games, or in any of his last three home games. In terms of his performance against the Steelers, he has only scored a touchdown in 1 out of 3 games he played against them and has never scored against the Steelers when playing at home. His overall hit rate is also low at 8 out of 47 games, and this trend continues at home where he has only scored in 4 out of 25 games. Despite the model edge of 0.179745374128176, the data suggests that backers should proceed with caution given his recent and historical performance.
Mark Andrews (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+165)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
While the model edge indicates a positive return for a "Yes" bet on Mark Andrews scoring a touchdown, we must consider his recent performance and trends, which suggest otherwise. Andrews has not scored a touchdown in the last 5 overall games (0/5) or home games (0/5). His overall hit rate in the last 20 games is just 30% (6/20) and drops to 25% (5/20) for home games. His performance against the Steelers is also not very favorable with a hit rate of 20% (1/5) in the last 5 games and 20% (1/5) in all games. Although his hit streak against the Steelers at home is 1, the overall data suggests that Andrews has been struggling to find the end zone lately. Therefore, it might be risky to place a bet on him scoring a touchdown based on his recent performance and trends.
Rashod Bateman (BAL) Under 19.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on Rashod Bateman to have under 19.5 reception yards in the game between the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers is statistically justified based on Bateman's recent performance and hit rates. Bateman's overall_hit_rate_last_10 is 0/10, which suggests he's been underperforming recently. Furthermore, his overall_current_hit_streak is 0, indicating that he hasn't been able to achieve the outcome point in his recent games. His performance at home is also not encouraging, with a home_hit_rate_last_10 of 1/10. Although his vs_pit_hit_rate_last_10 is 2/3, the overall and home trends seem more dominant, suggesting Bateman will struggle to reach 19.5 reception yards. The model edge of 0.110538254610609 also supports the under bet. Therefore, the data indicates that betting on the under 19.5 reception yards for Bateman is a rational decision.
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